Crawford Company Stock Price Prediction

CRD-A Stock  USD 11.84  0.04  0.34%   
At this time, The relative strength indicator of Crawford's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Crawford, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Crawford's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Crawford Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Crawford's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.84
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.015
Wall Street Target Price
13
Using Crawford hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crawford Company from the perspective of Crawford response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crawford to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Crawford because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Crawford after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Crawford Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6612.7214.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6311.6913.75
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.7414.0015.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.210.21
Details

Crawford After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Crawford at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crawford or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crawford, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Crawford Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Crawford's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crawford's historical news coverage. Crawford's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.79 and 13.91, respectively. We have considered Crawford's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.84
11.85
After-hype Price
13.91
Upside
Crawford is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crawford is based on 3 months time horizon.

Crawford Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crawford is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crawford backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crawford, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
2.08
  0.01 
  0.20 
9 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.84
11.85
0.08 
4,160  
Notes

Crawford Hype Timeline

Crawford is currently traded for 11.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. Crawford is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Crawford is about 187.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.64. The company reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Income was 30.61 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 306.35 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Crawford Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Crawford Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Crawford's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crawford's future price movements. Getting to know how Crawford's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crawford may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FANHFanhua Inc 0.07 5 per month 0.00 (0.04) 8.72 (9.09) 28.53 
CRVLCorVel Corp 25.98 9 per month 1.19  0.08  3.26 (2.23) 13.45 
ERIEErie Indemnity(36.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.09 (3.12) 10.81 
WTWWillis Towers Watson(2.08)10 per month 0.74  0.03  1.80 (1.63) 4.68 
CRD-BCrawford Company 0.59 8 per month 2.54  0.02  3.68 (3.95) 12.03 
BRPBrp Group 0.00 0 per month 2.74 (0.02) 4.05 (4.84) 12.03 
BROBrown Brown(0.62)11 per month 1.02 (0) 1.88 (2.06) 5.25 
AJGArthur J Gallagher(2.63)10 per month 1.15 (0.05) 2.16 (1.61) 5.31 
AONAon PLC 4.89 8 per month 0.53  0.07  1.43 (1.19) 7.95 
MMCMarsh McLennan Companies(3.67)9 per month 0.83 (0.13) 1.20 (1.31) 3.78 
HUIZHuize Holding(0.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 11.11 (8.00) 33.03 
EHTHeHealth 0.22 9 per month 2.87  0.07  8.22 (4.77) 16.43 

Crawford Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Crawford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crawford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crawford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Crawford Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Crawford stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crawford Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crawford based on analysis of Crawford hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crawford's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crawford's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03190.04310.01970.0344
Price To Sales Ratio0.350.220.510.85

Story Coverage note for Crawford

The number of cover stories for Crawford depends on current market conditions and Crawford's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crawford is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crawford's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Crawford Short Properties

Crawford's future price predictability will typically decrease when Crawford's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crawford Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crawford's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crawford's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments58.4 M

Complementary Tools for Crawford Stock analysis

When running Crawford's price analysis, check to measure Crawford's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crawford is operating at the current time. Most of Crawford's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crawford's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crawford's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crawford to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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