Aehr Test Systems Stock Price Patterns
| AEHR Stock | USD 25.64 1.24 4.61% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.12) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.075 | Wall Street Target Price 24.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.04) |
Using Aehr Test hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aehr Test Systems from the perspective of Aehr Test response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aehr Test using Aehr Test's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aehr using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aehr Test's stock price.
Aehr Test Short Interest
An investor who is long Aehr Test may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aehr Test and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aehr Test with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 19.7969 | Short Percent 0.1617 | Short Ratio 5.11 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.8 M | 50 Day MA 23.9348 |
Aehr Test Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aehr Test's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aehr. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aehr can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aehr Test Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aehr Test's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aehr Test.
Aehr Test Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Aehr Test's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aehr Test Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aehr Test's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aehr Test stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aehr Test's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aehr Test to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aehr because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aehr Test after-hype prediction price | USD 26.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aehr contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aehr Test Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0631% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Aehr Test trading at USD 25.64, that is roughly USD 0.0162 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aehr Test's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aehr Test Systems options at the current volatility level of 1.01%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Aehr Test Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Aehr Test After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aehr Test at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aehr Test or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aehr Test, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aehr Test Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aehr Test's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aehr Test's historical news coverage. Aehr Test's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.00 and 31.76, respectively. We have considered Aehr Test's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aehr Test is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aehr Test Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aehr Test Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aehr Test is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aehr Test backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aehr Test, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 4.91 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.64 | 26.88 | 0.00 |
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Aehr Test Hype Timeline
Aehr Test Systems is presently traded for 25.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Aehr is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aehr Test is about 3012.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.65. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.3. Aehr Test Systems had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Aehr Test Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aehr Test Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aehr Test's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aehr Test's future price movements. Getting to know how Aehr Test's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aehr Test may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SKYT | Skywater Technology | 1.02 | 11 per month | 5.62 | 0.15 | 12.40 | (9.12) | 48.91 | |
| ICHR | Ichor Holdings | 0.92 | 11 per month | 6.65 | 0.13 | 8.45 | (4.99) | 35.78 | |
| IMOS | ChipMOS Technologies | (0.36) | 7 per month | 2.51 | 0.23 | 8.78 | (4.77) | 23.93 | |
| AOSL | Alpha and Omega | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.18 | (5.36) | 30.53 | |
| LAES | SEALSQ Corp | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 10.08 | (8.80) | 22.26 | |
| WOLF | Wolfspeed | (0.80) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 9.02 | (7.83) | 22.69 | |
| CEVA | CEVA Inc | 0.63 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.26 | (6.60) | 19.14 | |
| CTLP | Cantaloupe | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.28 | (0.08) | 0.76 | (0.56) | 2.92 | |
| POET | POET Technologies | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.24 | (9.96) | 45.50 | |
| ITRN | Ituran Location and | 0.37 | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.13 | 4.15 | (1.87) | 8.15 |
Aehr Test Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aehr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aehr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aehr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aehr Test Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aehr Test stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aehr Test Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aehr Test based on analysis of Aehr Test hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aehr Test's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aehr Test's related companies. | 2010 | 2016 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 6.62 | 5.21 | 6.32 | 9.21 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 274.37 | 437.53 | 406.13 | 205.44 |
Pair Trading with Aehr Test
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aehr Test position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aehr Test will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Aehr Stock
Moving against Aehr Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aehr Test could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aehr Test when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aehr Test - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aehr Test Systems to buy it.
The correlation of Aehr Test is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aehr Test moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aehr Test Systems moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aehr Test can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Aehr Stock Analysis
When running Aehr Test's price analysis, check to measure Aehr Test's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aehr Test is operating at the current time. Most of Aehr Test's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aehr Test's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aehr Test's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aehr Test to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.