Agat Ejendomme (Denmark) Price Prediction

AGAT Stock  DKK 1.40  0.07  4.76%   
As of today, the value of RSI of Agat Ejendomme's share price is approaching 36. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Agat Ejendomme, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Agat Ejendomme's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Agat Ejendomme AS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Agat Ejendomme hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agat Ejendomme AS from the perspective of Agat Ejendomme response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agat Ejendomme to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agat because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Agat Ejendomme after-hype prediction price

    
  DKK 1.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Agat Ejendomme Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.403.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.474.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.261.351.43
Details

Agat Ejendomme After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Agat Ejendomme at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agat Ejendomme or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agat Ejendomme, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Agat Ejendomme Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Agat Ejendomme's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agat Ejendomme's historical news coverage. Agat Ejendomme's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 3.94, respectively. We have considered Agat Ejendomme's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.40
1.40
After-hype Price
3.94
Upside
Agat Ejendomme is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agat Ejendomme AS is based on 3 months time horizon.

Agat Ejendomme Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agat Ejendomme is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agat Ejendomme backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agat Ejendomme, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.54
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.40
1.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Agat Ejendomme Hype Timeline

Agat Ejendomme AS is presently traded for 1.40on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Agat is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Agat Ejendomme is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.40. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Agat Ejendomme AS last dividend was issued on the 18th of June 2002. The entity had 1400:1011 split on the 12th of August 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Agat Ejendomme Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Agat Ejendomme Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Agat Ejendomme's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agat Ejendomme's future price movements. Getting to know how Agat Ejendomme's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agat Ejendomme may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Agat Ejendomme Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Agat price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agat using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agat charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Agat Ejendomme Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Agat Ejendomme stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agat Ejendomme AS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agat Ejendomme based on analysis of Agat Ejendomme hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agat Ejendomme's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agat Ejendomme's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Agat Ejendomme

The number of cover stories for Agat Ejendomme depends on current market conditions and Agat Ejendomme's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agat Ejendomme is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agat Ejendomme's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Agat Ejendomme Short Properties

Agat Ejendomme's future price predictability will typically decrease when Agat Ejendomme's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agat Ejendomme AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agat Ejendomme's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agat Ejendomme's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.8 M

Other Information on Investing in Agat Stock

Agat Ejendomme financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agat with respect to the benefits of owning Agat Ejendomme security.