Alamos Gold Stock Price Patterns
| AGI Stock | CAD 56.75 3.53 5.86% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Alamos Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alamos Gold from the perspective of Alamos Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alamos Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alamos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alamos Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 56.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alamos |
Alamos Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alamos Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alamos Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alamos Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alamos Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alamos Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alamos Gold's historical news coverage. Alamos Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.20 and 59.30, respectively. We have considered Alamos Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alamos Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alamos Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alamos Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alamos Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alamos Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alamos Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 2.55 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
56.75 | 56.75 | 0.00 |
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Alamos Gold Hype Timeline
Alamos Gold is presently traded for 56.75on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Alamos is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alamos Gold is about 15000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.74. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alamos Gold was presently reported as 13.05. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2025. Alamos Gold had 1:2 split on the 21st of February 2003. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Alamos Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Alamos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide.Alamos Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alamos Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alamos Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Alamos Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alamos Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAAS | Pan American Silver | (0.09) | 3 per month | 1.73 | 0.27 | 7.32 | (3.69) | 14.76 | |
| LUG | Lundin Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | 0.12 | 5.95 | (3.33) | 15.29 | |
| IVN | Ivanhoe Mines | (0.53) | 1 per month | 2.56 | 0.14 | 5.98 | (4.62) | 14.03 | |
| EDV | Endeavour Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | 0.22 | 4.78 | (4.20) | 12.37 | |
| LUN | Lundin Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | 0.27 | 4.61 | (3.35) | 18.85 | |
| NGD | New Gold | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.38 | 0.20 | 6.80 | (3.86) | 14.65 | |
| IMG | IAMGold | 0.03 | 1 per month | 2.23 | 0.27 | 5.59 | (4.61) | 14.96 | |
| EQX | Equinox Gold Corp | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.51 | 0.17 | 6.11 | (4.99) | 12.98 | |
| SSRM | SSR Mining | 0.22 | 9 per month | 3.05 | 0.07 | 4.63 | (5.21) | 12.93 | |
| OGC | OceanaGold | 0.14 | 7 per month | 2.19 | 0.26 | 4.57 | (3.92) | 11.33 |
Alamos Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alamos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alamos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alamos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alamos Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alamos Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alamos Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alamos Gold based on analysis of Alamos Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alamos Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alamos Gold's related companies.
Pair Trading with Alamos Gold
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alamos Gold position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alamos Gold will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Alamos Stock
| 0.89 | AG | First Majestic Silver | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | IE | Ivanhoe Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | FDY | Faraday Copper Corp | PairCorr |
Moving against Alamos Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alamos Gold could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alamos Gold when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alamos Gold - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alamos Gold to buy it.
The correlation of Alamos Gold is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alamos Gold moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alamos Gold moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alamos Gold can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Alamos Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Alamos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Alamos Gold guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.