Algoma Central Stock Price Prediction
| ALC Stock | CAD 15.07 0.10 0.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.81 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.95 | Wall Street Target Price 21.75 |
Using Algoma Central hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Algoma Central from the perspective of Algoma Central response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Algoma Central to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Algoma because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Algoma Central after-hype prediction price | CAD 15.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Algoma |
Algoma Central After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Algoma Central at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Algoma Central or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Algoma Central, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Algoma Central Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Algoma Central's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Algoma Central's historical news coverage. Algoma Central's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.05 and 16.27, respectively. We have considered Algoma Central's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Algoma Central is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Algoma Central is based on 3 months time horizon.
Algoma Central Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Algoma Central is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Algoma Central backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Algoma Central, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.10 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.07 | 15.16 | 0.07 |
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Algoma Central Hype Timeline
Algoma Central is presently traded for 15.07on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Algoma is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Algoma Central is about 118.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.14. About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Algoma Central last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. The entity had 10:1 split on the 17th of December 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Algoma Central Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Algoma Central Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Algoma Central's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Algoma Central's future price movements. Getting to know how Algoma Central's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Algoma Central may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RBA | Ritchie Bros Auctioneers | 1.38 | 2 per month | 0.91 | 0.10 | 2.84 | (1.72) | 8.18 | |
| WPK | Winpak | 1.27 | 3 per month | 0.71 | 0.05 | 2.02 | (1.36) | 6.20 | |
| NWC | North West | 0.34 | 3 per month | 0.70 | 0.08 | 2.37 | (1.47) | 8.86 | |
| AIF | Altus Group Limited | 0.73 | 3 per month | 0.97 | 0.03 | 2.59 | (1.83) | 6.14 |
Algoma Central Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Algoma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Algoma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Algoma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Algoma Central Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Algoma Central stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Algoma Central, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Algoma Central based on analysis of Algoma Central hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Algoma Central's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Algoma Central's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.19 | 0.0364 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.07 | 1.02 | 0.7 |
Story Coverage note for Algoma Central
The number of cover stories for Algoma Central depends on current market conditions and Algoma Central's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Algoma Central is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Algoma Central's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Algoma Central Short Properties
Algoma Central's future price predictability will typically decrease when Algoma Central's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Algoma Central often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Algoma Central's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Algoma Central's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Algoma Stock
Algoma Central financial ratios help investors to determine whether Algoma Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Algoma with respect to the benefits of owning Algoma Central security.