Cogra 48 (France) Price Prediction
| ALCOG Stock | EUR 5.92 0.26 4.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cogra 48 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cogra 48 Socit from the perspective of Cogra 48 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cogra 48 to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cogra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cogra 48 after-hype prediction price | EUR 5.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cogra |
Cogra 48 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cogra 48 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cogra 48 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cogra 48, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cogra 48 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cogra 48's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cogra 48's historical news coverage. Cogra 48's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.93 and 8.91, respectively. We have considered Cogra 48's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cogra 48 is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cogra 48 Socit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cogra 48 Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cogra 48 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cogra 48 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cogra 48, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.92 | 5.92 | 0.00 |
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Cogra 48 Hype Timeline
Cogra 48 Socit is presently traded for 5.92on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cogra is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cogra 48 is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.92. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cogra 48 was presently reported as 6.26. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Cogra 48 Socit had 111:109 split on the 17th of April 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Cogra 48 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cogra 48 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cogra 48's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cogra 48's future price movements. Getting to know how Cogra 48's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cogra 48 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALMOU | Moulinvest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.27 | (2.46) | 8.21 | |
| ALPJT | Poujoulat SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.85 | (3.77) | 7.10 | |
| ALDEL | Delfingen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.51) | 0.92 | (5.58) | 12.90 | |
| JCQ | Jacquet Metal Service | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | (0.07) | 3.08 | (2.26) | 8.94 | |
| ALCLA | Clasquin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.71 | (0.36) | 1.45 |
Cogra 48 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cogra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cogra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cogra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cogra 48 Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cogra 48 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cogra 48 Socit, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cogra 48 based on analysis of Cogra 48 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cogra 48's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cogra 48's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Cogra 48
The number of cover stories for Cogra 48 depends on current market conditions and Cogra 48's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cogra 48 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cogra 48's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cogra 48 Short Properties
Cogra 48's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cogra 48's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cogra 48 Socit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cogra 48's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cogra 48's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 M |
Additional Tools for Cogra Stock Analysis
When running Cogra 48's price analysis, check to measure Cogra 48's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cogra 48 is operating at the current time. Most of Cogra 48's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cogra 48's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cogra 48's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cogra 48 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.