Altair Engineering Stock Price Prediction

ALTR Stock  USD 104.35  0.02  0.02%   
As of today, The relative strength indicator of Altair Engineering's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Altair Engineering, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Altair Engineering's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Altair Engineering and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Altair Engineering's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Altair Engineering, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Altair Engineering's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.633
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.49
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.3086
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.4212
Wall Street Target Price
105.975
Using Altair Engineering hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Altair Engineering from the perspective of Altair Engineering response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Altair Engineering Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Altair Engineering's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Altair. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Altair can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Altair Engineering. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Altair Engineering's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Altair Engineering.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Altair Engineering to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Altair because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Altair Engineering after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 104.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Altair Engineering Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Altair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Altair Engineering guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altair Engineering's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.2796.34114.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.31100.37102.44
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
66.8973.5081.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.500.35
Details

Altair Engineering After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Altair Engineering at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Altair Engineering or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Altair Engineering, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Altair Engineering Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Altair Engineering's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Altair Engineering's historical news coverage. Altair Engineering's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 102.04 and 106.18, respectively. We have considered Altair Engineering's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
104.35
102.04
Downside
104.11
After-hype Price
106.18
Upside
Altair Engineering is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Altair Engineering is based on 3 months time horizon.

Altair Engineering Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Altair Engineering is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Altair Engineering backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Altair Engineering, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
2.08
  0.26 
  0.12 
11 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
104.35
104.11
0.23 
203.92  
Notes

Altair Engineering Hype Timeline

Altair Engineering is presently traded for 104.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Altair is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 104.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Altair Engineering is about 435.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 104.47. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the November 6, 2015. Altair Engineering had 2:1 split on the August 11, 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Altair Engineering Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Altair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Altair Engineering guide.

Altair Engineering Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Altair Engineering's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Altair Engineering's future price movements. Getting to know how Altair Engineering's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Altair Engineering may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GBGlobal Blue Group(0.05)11 per month 3.43  0.05  4.70 (3.51) 23.79 
EVCMEverCommerce(0.17)8 per month 1.68  0.04  3.05 (2.45) 13.03 
CSGSCSG Systems International 1.37 10 per month 0.95  0.08  2.65 (1.83) 10.94 
CCSIConsensus Cloud Solutions 1.73 7 per month 2.37  0.06  6.28 (3.62) 20.68 
ESMTEngageSmart LLC 0.00 0 per month 1.90  0.01  3.90 (2.93) 9.34 
IIIVi3 Verticals 0.21 6 per month 1.83  0.06  3.23 (3.00) 10.92 
CCCSCCC Intelligent Solutions 0.06 11 per month 0.96  0.07  1.97 (1.89) 5.99 
SPSCSPS Commerce 1.75 6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.51 (2.74) 13.74 
EVTCEvertec 0.70 9 per month 1.46  0.01  2.24 (2.30) 7.50 
NTCTNetScout Systems 0.14 9 per month 1.72  0  3.23 (2.84) 10.35 
AVDXAvidXchange Holdings 0.01 9 per month 1.40  0.15  4.07 (2.79) 16.68 
FORGForgeRock 0.05 5 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.78 (1.49) 6.71 
APPNAppian Corp(0.98)8 per month 1.79  0.06  4.42 (3.11) 11.10 
FIVNFive9 Inc 1.32 8 per month 2.30  0.04  4.84 (3.72) 15.67 
DOCNDigitalOcean Holdings 0.48 7 per month 3.11 (0.01) 5.16 (4.36) 22.00 
ATENA10 Network 1.02 7 per month 0.79  0.18  2.34 (1.65) 5.77 

Altair Engineering Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Altair price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Altair using various technical indicators. When you analyze Altair charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Altair Engineering Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Altair Engineering stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Altair Engineering, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Altair Engineering based on analysis of Altair Engineering hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Altair Engineering's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Altair Engineering's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
PFCF Ratio110.24120.7757.9155.02
Capex To Operating Cash Flow0.130.240.08010.0761

Story Coverage note for Altair Engineering

The number of cover stories for Altair Engineering depends on current market conditions and Altair Engineering's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Altair Engineering is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Altair Engineering's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Altair Engineering Short Properties

Altair Engineering's future price predictability will typically decrease when Altair Engineering's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Altair Engineering often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Altair Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altair Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments467.5 M

Additional Tools for Altair Stock Analysis

When running Altair Engineering's price analysis, check to measure Altair Engineering's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altair Engineering is operating at the current time. Most of Altair Engineering's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altair Engineering's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altair Engineering's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altair Engineering to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.