Ashley Services (Australia) Price Prediction
| ASH Stock | 0.17 0.01 5.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | Wall Street Target Price 69.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Ashley Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ashley Services Group from the perspective of Ashley Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ashley Services to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ashley because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ashley Services after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ashley |
Ashley Services After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ashley Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ashley Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ashley Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ashley Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ashley Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ashley Services' historical news coverage. Ashley Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 6.48, respectively. We have considered Ashley Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ashley Services is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ashley Services Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ashley Services Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ashley Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ashley Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ashley Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 6.31 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.17 | 0.17 | 0.00 |
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Ashley Services Hype Timeline
Ashley Services Group is presently traded for 0.17on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Ashley is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ashley Services is about 2315.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.14. About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ashley Services Group last dividend was issued on the 4th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Ashley Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ashley Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ashley Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ashley Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Ashley Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ashley Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MQG | Macquarie Group | 0.19 | 5 per month | 1.19 | (0.02) | 1.76 | (2.28) | 5.94 | |
| MQGPD | Macquarie Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.34 | (0.02) | 0.60 | (0.72) | 2.42 | |
| CBA | Commonwealth Bank | (3.06) | 2 per month | 1.31 | 0.1 | 2.01 | (2.23) | 5.83 | |
| RIO | Rio Tinto | 0.69 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.91 | (1.78) | 7.61 | |
| CBAPG | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | (0.05) | 0.44 | (0.48) | 1.12 | |
| CBAPK | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.28 | (0.04) | 0.44 | (0.37) | 2.17 | |
| CBAPJ | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | (0.03) | 0.63 | (0.59) | 2.40 | |
| CBAPH | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Ashley Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ashley price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ashley using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ashley charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ashley Services Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ashley Services stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ashley Services Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ashley Services based on analysis of Ashley Services hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ashley Services's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ashley Services's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ashley Services
The number of cover stories for Ashley Services depends on current market conditions and Ashley Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ashley Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ashley Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ashley Services Short Properties
Ashley Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ashley Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ashley Services Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ashley Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ashley Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 151.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 158 K |
Additional Tools for Ashley Stock Analysis
When running Ashley Services' price analysis, check to measure Ashley Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashley Services is operating at the current time. Most of Ashley Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashley Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashley Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashley Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.