Avon Protection (UK) Price Prediction
| AVON Stock | 1,444 56.00 4.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.657 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4574 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5335 | Wall Street Target Price 1.4 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.251 |
Using Avon Protection hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avon Protection PLC from the perspective of Avon Protection response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Avon Protection to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Avon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Avon Protection after-hype prediction price | GBX 1421.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Avon |
Avon Protection After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Avon Protection at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Avon Protection or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Avon Protection, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Avon Protection Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Avon Protection's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Avon Protection's historical news coverage. Avon Protection's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,419 and 1,588, respectively. We have considered Avon Protection's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Avon Protection is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Avon Protection PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Avon Protection Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Avon Protection is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avon Protection backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Avon Protection, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.61 | 23.00 | 0.06 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,444 | 1,421 | 1.59 |
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Avon Protection Hype Timeline
Avon Protection PLC is presently traded for 1,444on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -23.0, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Avon is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1421.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 1.75%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.59%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Avon Protection is about 685.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,444. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Avon Protection was presently reported as 4.75. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Avon Protection Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Avon Protection Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Avon Protection's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Avon Protection's future price movements. Getting to know how Avon Protection's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Avon Protection may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LINV | Lendinvest PLC | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.82 | (1.89) | 6.09 | |
| NMT | Neometals | 0.17 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.88 | (5.56) | 36.62 | |
| AATG | Albion Technology General | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.55 | 0.00 | 6.29 | |
| JUP | Jupiter Fund Management | 2.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.96 | (2.21) | 8.59 | |
| JUKC | JPMorgan ETFs ICAV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.92 | (1.06) | 2.36 | |
| FSEM | Fidelity Sustainable USD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | (0.32) | 0.51 | (0.51) | 2.31 | |
| SUPR | Supermarket Income REIT | (0.69) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.75 | (1.81) | 4.93 | |
| AEO | Aeorema Communications Plc | 0.40 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.94 | (1.80) | 6.74 |
Avon Protection Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Avon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Avon Protection Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Avon Protection stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Avon Protection PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avon Protection based on analysis of Avon Protection hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Avon Protection's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Avon Protection's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Avon Protection
The number of cover stories for Avon Protection depends on current market conditions and Avon Protection's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Avon Protection is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Avon Protection's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Avon Protection Short Properties
Avon Protection's future price predictability will typically decrease when Avon Protection's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Avon Protection PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Avon Protection's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avon Protection's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.2 M |
Additional Tools for Avon Stock Analysis
When running Avon Protection's price analysis, check to measure Avon Protection's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avon Protection is operating at the current time. Most of Avon Protection's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avon Protection's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avon Protection's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avon Protection to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.