Alexanders (Germany) Price Patterns

AXE Stock   202.00  4.00  2.02%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Alexanders' stock price is slightly above 63. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alexanders, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alexanders' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alexanders, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Alexanders' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.69)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Using Alexanders hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alexanders from the perspective of Alexanders response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alexanders to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alexanders because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Alexanders after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 202.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Alexanders Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Alexanders Stock please use our How to Invest in Alexanders guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alexanders' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
162.45164.68222.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
195.50197.74199.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
69.04194.20319.36
Details

Alexanders After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Alexanders at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alexanders or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alexanders, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Alexanders Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Alexanders' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alexanders' historical news coverage. Alexanders' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 200.43 and 204.89, respectively. We have considered Alexanders' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
202.00
200.43
Downside
202.66
After-hype Price
204.89
Upside
Alexanders is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alexanders is based on 3 months time horizon.

Alexanders Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alexanders is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alexanders backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alexanders, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
2.23
  0.66 
  0.10 
6 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
202.00
202.66
0.33 
74.33  
Notes

Alexanders Hype Timeline

Alexanders is presently traded for 202.00on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Alexanders is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 202.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 74.33%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Alexanders is about 504.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 201.90. The company reported the revenue of 213.18 M. Net Income was 28.22 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 106.81 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Alexanders Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Alexanders Stock please use our How to Invest in Alexanders guide.

Alexanders Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Alexanders' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alexanders' future price movements. Getting to know how Alexanders' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alexanders may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ABHAHASEN IMMOBILIEN N 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.82  0.00  14.29 
YA1Yancoal Australia 0.02 4 per month 2.32  0.06  4.84 (4.00) 11.36 
SGJHSinopec Shanghai Petrochemical 0.00 2 per month 2.58  0.05  7.14 (6.67) 18.25 
FMVFirst Majestic Silver(0.05)8 per month 4.36  0.18  8.46 (6.32) 24.51 
DP4BAP Mller  0.00 1 per month 0.22  0.17  2.53 (1.10) 7.25 
K3EKendrion NV(0.22)1 per month 0.78  0.14  2.16 (2.09) 4.99 
NPVNippon Carbon Co 0.40 2 per month 0.30  0.13  1.66 (0.85) 4.18 
SIIWheaton Precious Metals(0.35)7 per month 2.33  0.17  4.01 (3.88) 15.45 
28LPEPTONIC MEDICAL 0.00 4 per month 26.40  0.24  700.00 (66.67) 780.00 
CQDCharter Communications(4.22)7 per month 1.94  0.04  4.19 (3.54) 12.31 

Alexanders Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alexanders price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alexanders using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alexanders charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Alexanders Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Alexanders stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alexanders, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alexanders based on analysis of Alexanders hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alexanders's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alexanders's related companies.

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Additional Tools for Alexanders Stock Analysis

When running Alexanders' price analysis, check to measure Alexanders' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alexanders is operating at the current time. Most of Alexanders' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alexanders' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alexanders' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alexanders to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.