Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Stock Price Prediction

BBVXF Stock  USD 11.49  1.11  10.69%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Banco Bilbao's share price is above 70 as of 31st of January 2025 suggesting that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Banco, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

78

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Banco Bilbao's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Banco Bilbao and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Banco Bilbao's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banco Bilbao Vizcaya, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Banco Bilbao hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya from the perspective of Banco Bilbao response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Banco Bilbao to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Banco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Banco Bilbao after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Banco Bilbao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Bilbao's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.149.1612.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.4411.4614.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.539.7811.04
Details

Banco Bilbao After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Banco Bilbao at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Bilbao or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Banco Bilbao, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Banco Bilbao Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Banco Bilbao's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Bilbao's historical news coverage. Banco Bilbao's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.47 and 14.51, respectively. We have considered Banco Bilbao's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.49
11.49
After-hype Price
14.51
Upside
Banco Bilbao is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya is based on 3 months time horizon.

Banco Bilbao Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco Bilbao is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Bilbao backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Bilbao, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
3.02
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.49
11.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Banco Bilbao Hype Timeline

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya is currently traded for 11.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Banco is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Banco Bilbao is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.49. About 34.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banco Bilbao Vizcaya has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.7. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of October 2022. The firm had 101:100 split on the 22nd of December 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Banco Bilbao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Banco Bilbao Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Bilbao's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Bilbao's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Bilbao's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Bilbao may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CICHFChina Construction Bank 0.00 0 per month 4.17  0.05  7.59 (8.75) 21.35 
IDCBFIndustrial and Commercial 0.00 0 per month 2.18  0.03  3.64 (5.17) 16.31 
BML-PHBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.38 (0.09) 1.15 (0.79) 2.46 
BML-PGBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.49 (0.08) 1.10 (0.94) 2.65 
ACGBFAgricultural Bank 0.00 0 per month 2.93  0.03  4.26 (10.00) 24.53 
BML-PJBank of America 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.02 (0.97) 2.22 
CMWAYCommonwealth Bank of 0.00 0 per month 1.47 (0.01) 2.26 (2.29) 7.58 
ANZGYANZ Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.94 (2.20) 5.60 
WEBNFWestpac Banking 0.00 0 per month 3.48  0.01  6.92 (6.47) 22.93 
NAUBFNational Australia Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00 (2.75) 10.46 

Banco Bilbao Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Banco Bilbao Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Banco Bilbao stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Banco Bilbao Vizcaya, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Banco Bilbao based on analysis of Banco Bilbao hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Banco Bilbao's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Banco Bilbao's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Banco Bilbao

The number of cover stories for Banco Bilbao depends on current market conditions and Banco Bilbao's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Bilbao is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Bilbao's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Banco Bilbao Short Properties

Banco Bilbao's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banco Bilbao's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banco Bilbao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Bilbao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Short Term Investments59 B

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