Brighthouse Financial Preferred Stock Price Prediction
| BHFAP Preferred Stock | USD 16.83 0.13 0.77% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Brighthouse Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brighthouse Financial from the perspective of Brighthouse Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brighthouse Financial to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brighthouse because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Brighthouse Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 17.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Brighthouse |
Brighthouse Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brighthouse Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brighthouse Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Brighthouse Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brighthouse Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brighthouse Financial's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brighthouse Financial's historical news coverage. Brighthouse Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.26 and 19.44, respectively. We have considered Brighthouse Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brighthouse Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brighthouse Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brighthouse Financial Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brighthouse Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brighthouse Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brighthouse Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.09 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.83 | 17.35 | 2.30 |
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Brighthouse Financial Hype Timeline
Brighthouse Financial is currently traded for 16.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Brighthouse is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Brighthouse Financial is about 574.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.76. Brighthouse Financial has accumulated 3.16 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.13, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Brighthouse Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Brighthouse Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Brighthouse Financial guide.Brighthouse Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brighthouse Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brighthouse Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Brighthouse Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brighthouse Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARX | Accelerant Holdings | (0.13) | 9 per month | 2.56 | 0.05 | 5.96 | (4.53) | 15.79 | |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (0.91) | 8 per month | 2.32 | (0.02) | 3.65 | (3.99) | 14.87 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | (0.20) | 8 per month | 1.35 | 0.04 | 2.22 | (2.17) | 5.81 | |
| JXN | Jackson Financial | 0.26 | 12 per month | 1.67 | 0.12 | 2.64 | (2.37) | 9.11 | |
| HCI | HCI Group | (5.21) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.88 | (4.10) | 9.93 | |
| BOH | Bank of Hawaii | 1.77 | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.15 | 2.58 | (1.71) | 8.71 | |
| CVBF | CVB Financial | 0.91 | 7 per month | 1.44 | 0.02 | 3.01 | (2.89) | 9.56 | |
| OAK-PB | Oaktree Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | (0.08) | 1.34 | (0.99) | 4.82 | |
| KMPR | Kemper | 0.34 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.31 | (3.07) | 14.64 | |
| BBUC | Brookfield Business Corp | (0.47) | 9 per month | 2.77 | (0.03) | 3.65 | (3.05) | 12.49 |
Brighthouse Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brighthouse price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brighthouse using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brighthouse charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Brighthouse Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Brighthouse Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brighthouse Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brighthouse Financial based on analysis of Brighthouse Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brighthouse Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brighthouse Financial's related companies.
Pair Trading with Brighthouse Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Brighthouse Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Brighthouse Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Brighthouse Preferred Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Brighthouse Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Brighthouse Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Brighthouse Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Brighthouse Financial to buy it.
The correlation of Brighthouse Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Brighthouse Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Brighthouse Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Brighthouse Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Brighthouse Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Brighthouse Financial's price analysis, check to measure Brighthouse Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brighthouse Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Brighthouse Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brighthouse Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brighthouse Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brighthouse Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.