Banco Mercantil (Brazil) Price Prediction
| BMEB4 Preferred Stock | BRL 40.75 1.51 3.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Banco Mercantil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Mercantil do from the perspective of Banco Mercantil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Banco Mercantil to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Banco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Banco Mercantil after-hype prediction price | BRL 39.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Banco |
Banco Mercantil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Banco Mercantil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Mercantil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Banco Mercantil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Banco Mercantil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Banco Mercantil's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Mercantil's historical news coverage. Banco Mercantil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.06 and 42.42, respectively. We have considered Banco Mercantil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Banco Mercantil is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Mercantil do is based on 3 months time horizon.
Banco Mercantil Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco Mercantil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Mercantil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Mercantil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 3.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.75 | 39.24 | 0.00 |
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Banco Mercantil Hype Timeline
Banco Mercantil do is currently traded for 40.75on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Banco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Banco Mercantil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.75. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banco Mercantil do last dividend was issued on the 4th of October 2022. The entity had 200:100 split on the 3rd of December 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Banco Mercantil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Banco Mercantil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Mercantil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Mercantil's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Mercantil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Mercantil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BMEB3 | Banco Mercantil do | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | 0.02 | 2.86 | (3.14) | 12.42 | |
| BEES3 | Banestes SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.81 | (1.03) | 4.73 | |
| BAZA3 | Banco da Amaznia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.47 | (1.83) | 7.62 | |
| BRIV4 | Banco Alfa de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABCB4 | Banco ABC Brasil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 1.28 | (2.44) | 4.77 |
Banco Mercantil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Banco Mercantil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Banco Mercantil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Banco Mercantil do, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Banco Mercantil based on analysis of Banco Mercantil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Banco Mercantil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Banco Mercantil's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Banco Mercantil
The number of cover stories for Banco Mercantil depends on current market conditions and Banco Mercantil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Mercantil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Mercantil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Banco Mercantil Short Properties
Banco Mercantil's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banco Mercantil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banco Mercantil do often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banco Mercantil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Mercantil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Additional Tools for Banco Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Banco Mercantil's price analysis, check to measure Banco Mercantil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Mercantil is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Mercantil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Mercantil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Mercantil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Mercantil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.