Bloomsbury Publishing (UK) Price Prediction

BMY Stock   672.00  12.00  1.82%   
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Bloomsbury Publishing's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bloomsbury Publishing, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bloomsbury Publishing's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bloomsbury Publishing and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bloomsbury Publishing's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bloomsbury Publishing's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.471
EPS Estimate Current Year
46.4
EPS Estimate Next Year
32.2
Wall Street Target Price
814.25
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.315
Using Bloomsbury Publishing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bloomsbury Publishing Plc from the perspective of Bloomsbury Publishing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bloomsbury Publishing to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bloomsbury because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bloomsbury Publishing after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 674.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bloomsbury Publishing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
508.45510.72739.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
651.12653.39655.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.203.383.50
Details

Bloomsbury Publishing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bloomsbury Publishing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bloomsbury Publishing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bloomsbury Publishing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bloomsbury Publishing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bloomsbury Publishing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bloomsbury Publishing's historical news coverage. Bloomsbury Publishing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 671.76 and 676.30, respectively. We have considered Bloomsbury Publishing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
672.00
671.76
Downside
674.03
After-hype Price
676.30
Upside
Bloomsbury Publishing is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bloomsbury Publishing Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bloomsbury Publishing Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bloomsbury Publishing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bloomsbury Publishing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bloomsbury Publishing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
2.27
  2.03 
  0.01 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
672.00
674.03
0.30 
6.71  
Notes

Bloomsbury Publishing Hype Timeline

Bloomsbury Publishing Plc is currently traded for 672.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Bloomsbury is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 674.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 6.71%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Bloomsbury Publishing is about 1542.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 671.99. The company reported the revenue of 342.65 M. Net Income was 32.3 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 144.91 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Bloomsbury Publishing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bloomsbury Publishing Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bloomsbury Publishing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bloomsbury Publishing's future price movements. Getting to know how Bloomsbury Publishing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bloomsbury Publishing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0K50National Beverage Corp(0.25)2 per month 0.92 (0.02) 2.02 (1.95) 8.09 
MONYMoneysupermarketCom Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.91 (1.81) 10.46 
0NYHEbro Foods 0.06 2 per month 0.51 (0.18) 0.89 (1.13) 2.52 
0UMGUniversal Music Group 0.48 1 per month 3.63 (0.03) 2.36 (2.22) 23.79 
0R2NRaytheon Technologies Corp 0.28 1 per month 1.07 (0.06) 2.18 (1.76) 7.36 
0I6UDXC Technology Co(0.40)3 per month 2.05  0.01  4.35 (3.52) 9.74 
PFDPremier Foods PLC(1.20)3 per month 1.23 (0.02) 1.57 (2.00) 8.01 

Bloomsbury Publishing Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bloomsbury price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bloomsbury using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bloomsbury charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bloomsbury Publishing Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bloomsbury Publishing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bloomsbury Publishing based on analysis of Bloomsbury Publishing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bloomsbury Publishing's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bloomsbury Publishing's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Bloomsbury Publishing

The number of cover stories for Bloomsbury Publishing depends on current market conditions and Bloomsbury Publishing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bloomsbury Publishing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bloomsbury Publishing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bloomsbury Publishing Short Properties

Bloomsbury Publishing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bloomsbury Publishing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bloomsbury Publishing Plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bloomsbury Publishing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bloomsbury Publishing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding82.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments65.8 M

Complementary Tools for Bloomsbury Stock analysis

When running Bloomsbury Publishing's price analysis, check to measure Bloomsbury Publishing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bloomsbury Publishing is operating at the current time. Most of Bloomsbury Publishing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bloomsbury Publishing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bloomsbury Publishing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bloomsbury Publishing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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