Bionomics Ltd Adr Stock Price Prediction
| BNOX Stock | USD 0.29 0.01 3.57% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 15.367 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 |
Using Bionomics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bionomics Ltd ADR from the perspective of Bionomics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bionomics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bionomics because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bionomics after-hype prediction price | USD 0.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bionomics |
Bionomics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bionomics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bionomics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bionomics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bionomics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bionomics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bionomics' historical news coverage. Bionomics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 23.21, respectively. We have considered Bionomics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bionomics is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bionomics ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bionomics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bionomics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bionomics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bionomics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 22.94 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.29 | 0.27 | 6.90 |
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Bionomics Hype Timeline
Bionomics ADR is currently traded for 0.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Bionomics is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.9%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Bionomics is about 72736.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.28. About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bionomics ADR recorded a loss per share of 1.19. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Bionomics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bionomics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bionomics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bionomics' future price movements. Getting to know how Bionomics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bionomics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACUT | Accustem Sciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.81 | 0.01 | 20.00 | (20.37) | 52.38 | |
| HILS | Hillstream Biopharma | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.33 | (7.89) | 113.15 | |
| CMRA | Comera Life Sciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 13.95 | (12.70) | 30.28 | |
| SPRC | Scisparc | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.00 | (8.33) | 39.88 | |
| ANEB | Anebulo Pharmaceuticals | 0.03 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.85 | (11.48) | 76.00 | |
| PMVP | Pmv Pharmaceuticals | (0.1) | 3 per month | 2.01 | (0.01) | 3.75 | (3.64) | 13.98 | |
| MIRO | Miromatrix Medical | (0.06) | 2 per month | 5.26 | 0.05 | 11.73 | (8.87) | 38.49 | |
| ZIVO | Zivo Bioscience | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.31 | (6.67) | 36.36 | |
| AVTE | Aerovate Therapeutics | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.13 | 0.14 | 5.58 | (3.86) | 19.11 | |
| ADAG | Adagene | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.30 | (9.52) | 37.93 | |
| ACRV | Acrivon Therapeutics, Common | (0.04) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.66 | (7.65) | 22.84 | |
| RZLT | Rezolute | (0.28) | 7 per month | 3.11 | 0.04 | 6.81 | (5.54) | 30.01 | |
| ANTX | AN2 Therapeutics | (0.02) | 11 per month | 1.86 | 0.06 | 3.64 | (3.42) | 28.03 |
Bionomics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bionomics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bionomics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bionomics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bionomics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bionomics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bionomics Ltd ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bionomics based on analysis of Bionomics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bionomics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bionomics's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 7.8K | 7.0K | 7.3K | PTB Ratio | 146.34 | 0.39 | 0.37 |
Story Coverage note for Bionomics
The number of cover stories for Bionomics depends on current market conditions and Bionomics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bionomics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bionomics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bionomics Short Properties
Bionomics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bionomics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bionomics Ltd ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bionomics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bionomics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.6 M |
Additional Tools for Bionomics Stock Analysis
When running Bionomics' price analysis, check to measure Bionomics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bionomics is operating at the current time. Most of Bionomics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bionomics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bionomics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bionomics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.