Black Stone Minerals Stock Price Patterns
| BSM Stock | USD 14.66 0.11 0.74% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.215 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.23 | Wall Street Target Price 13 |
Using Black Stone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Black Stone Minerals from the perspective of Black Stone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Black Stone using Black Stone's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Black using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Black Stone's stock price.
Black Stone Implied Volatility | 0.87 |
Black Stone's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Black Stone Minerals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Black Stone's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Black Stone stock will not fluctuate a lot when Black Stone's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Black Stone to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Black because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Black Stone after-hype prediction price | USD 14.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Black contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Black Stone Minerals will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Black Stone trading at USD 14.66, that is roughly USD 0.007971 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Black Stone's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Black Stone Minerals options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Black Stone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Black Stone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Black Stone After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Black Stone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Black Stone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Black Stone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Black Stone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Black Stone's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Black Stone's historical news coverage. Black Stone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.48 and 16.18, respectively. We have considered Black Stone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Black Stone is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Black Stone Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Black Stone Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Black Stone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Black Stone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Black Stone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.35 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.66 | 14.83 | 0.41 |
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Black Stone Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Black Stone Minerals is traded for 14.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Black is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Black Stone is about 503.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.72. The company reported the last year's revenue of 439.43 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 271.33 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 361.79 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Black Stone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Black Stone Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Black Stone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Black Stone's future price movements. Getting to know how Black Stone's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Black Stone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CIVI | Civitas Resources | (0.93) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.63 | (4.19) | 11.71 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | 0.37 | 9 per month | 1.32 | 0.13 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 14.71 | |
| TDW | Tidewater | 4.20 | 8 per month | 2.60 | 0.14 | 5.06 | (5.04) | 15.89 | |
| NOG | Northern Oil Gas | (0.17) | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.06 | 5.26 | (4.07) | 10.76 | |
| SM | SM Energy Co | (0.20) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.59 | (4.49) | 10.18 | |
| STNG | Scorpio Tankers | (0.25) | 10 per month | 1.71 | 0.02 | 4.48 | (2.67) | 12.30 | |
| USAC | USA Compression Partners | 0.08 | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.11 | 3.03 | (2.55) | 10.45 | |
| LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | 0.42 | 10 per month | 3.00 | 0.18 | 5.56 | (6.06) | 18.96 | |
| OII | Oceaneering International | (0.42) | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.15 | 5.31 | (3.35) | 12.51 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.42) | 10 per month | 1.42 | 0.08 | 2.42 | (1.92) | 10.05 |
Black Stone Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Black price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Black using various technical indicators. When you analyze Black charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Black Stone Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Black Stone stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Black Stone Minerals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Black Stone based on analysis of Black Stone hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Black Stone's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Black Stone's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.0667 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.05 | 7.65 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Black Stone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could Black diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Black Stone. Projected growth potential of Black fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Black Stone data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 1.325 | Earnings Share 1.14 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Investors evaluate Black Stone Minerals using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Black Stone's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Black Stone's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Black Stone's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Black Stone should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Black Stone's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.