Burford Capital Stock Price Prediction
| BUR Stock | USD 14.31 0.05 0.35% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1763 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.638 | Wall Street Target Price 19.7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.79) |
Using Burford Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Burford Capital from the perspective of Burford Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Burford Capital using Burford Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Burford using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Burford Capital's stock price.
Burford Capital Short Interest
An investor who is long Burford Capital may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Burford Capital and may potentially protect profits, hedge Burford Capital with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.6509 | Short Percent 0.0169 | Short Ratio 4.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.1 M | 50 Day MA 13.3454 |
Burford Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Burford Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Burford. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Burford can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Burford Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Burford Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Burford Capital.
Burford Capital Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Burford Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Burford Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Burford Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Burford Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Burford Capital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Burford Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Burford because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Burford Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 14.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Burford contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Burford Capital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Burford Capital trading at USD 14.31, that is roughly USD 0.007423 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Burford Capital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Burford Capital options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Burford |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burford Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Burford Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Burford Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Burford Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Burford Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Burford Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Burford Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Burford Capital's historical news coverage. Burford Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.28 and 16.26, respectively. We have considered Burford Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Burford Capital is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Burford Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Burford Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Burford Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burford Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Burford Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.99 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.31 | 14.27 | 0.28 |
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Burford Capital Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Burford Capital is traded for 14.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Burford is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Burford Capital is about 999.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.28. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.29. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Burford Capital has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 269.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of November 2024. The firm had 1:1 split on the February 18, 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Burford Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Burford Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Burford Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Burford Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Burford Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Burford Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Burford Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Burford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Burford Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Burford Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Burford Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Burford Capital based on analysis of Burford Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Burford Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Burford Capital's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Debt Ratio | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.2 | Enterprise Value Multiple | 5.74 | 6.6 | 12.58 |
Story Coverage note for Burford Capital
The number of cover stories for Burford Capital depends on current market conditions and Burford Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Burford Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Burford Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Burford Capital Short Properties
Burford Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Burford Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Burford Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Burford Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burford Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 223 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 328.1 M |
Additional Tools for Burford Stock Analysis
When running Burford Capital's price analysis, check to measure Burford Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burford Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Burford Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burford Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burford Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burford Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.