Compania De Minas Stock Price Patterns

BVN Stock  USD 34.26  4.27  11.08%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Compania's share price is above 70 as of today suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Compania, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 79

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Compania's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Compania de Minas, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Compania's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.1726
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.3513
Wall Street Target Price
30.9167
Using Compania hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compania de Minas from the perspective of Compania response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Compania using Compania's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Compania using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Compania's stock price.

Compania Short Interest

An investor who is long Compania may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Compania and may potentially protect profits, hedge Compania with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
21.4395
Short Percent
0.0318
Short Ratio
3.04
Shares Short Prior Month
5.2 M
50 Day MA
29.6782

Compania de Minas Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Compania's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Compania. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Compania can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Compania de Minas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Compania's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Compania.

Compania Implied Volatility

    
  1.18  
Compania's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Compania de Minas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Compania's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Compania stock will not fluctuate a lot when Compania's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Compania to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Compania because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Compania after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 34.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Compania contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Compania de Minas will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0738% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Compania trading at USD 34.26, that is roughly USD 0.0253 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Compania's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Compania de Minas options at the current volatility level of 1.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Compania Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compania's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.2632.5535.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.3734.6637.95
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.1330.9234.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.750.750.75
Details

Compania After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Compania at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compania or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Compania, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Compania Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Compania's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compania's historical news coverage. Compania's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.99 and 37.57, respectively. We have considered Compania's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
34.26
34.28
After-hype Price
37.57
Upside
Compania is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compania de Minas is based on 3 months time horizon.

Compania Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compania is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compania backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compania, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.78 
2.94
  0.22 
  0.86 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.26
34.28
0.06 
1,050  
Notes

Compania Hype Timeline

On the 1st of February Compania de Minas is traded for 34.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.86. Compania is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 34.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.78%. The volatility of related hype on Compania is about 268.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.12. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.15 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 403.71 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 684.86 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Compania Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Compania Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Compania's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compania's future price movements. Getting to know how Compania's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compania may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TFPMTriple Flag Precious 0.01 27 per month 2.71  0.11  4.21 (5.22) 12.83 
NGDNew Gold 0.09 21 per month 3.70  0.17  7.41 (4.72) 19.38 
UFPIUfp Industries 4.99 9 per month 1.10  0.09  3.46 (2.12) 7.57 
EGOEldorado Gold Corp 0.89 8 per month 2.30  0.28  5.65 (3.37) 11.79 
AXTAAxalta Coating Systems 0.35 11 per month 1.19  0.12  2.69 (2.53) 7.97 
BTGB2Gold Corp 0.01 10 per month 3.69  0.0009  5.48 (5.74) 14.92 
LPXLouisiana Pacific 6.26 8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.15 (3.12) 11.95 
CLFCleveland Cliffs 0.01 14 per month 4.72  0.01  5.23 (7.09) 17.41 
HBMHudbay Minerals(1.19)9 per month 2.99  0.20  5.44 (5.81) 12.33 
FSMFortuna Silver Mines(0.45)10 per month 3.19  0.1  4.51 (3.97) 14.17 

Compania Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Compania price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compania using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compania charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Compania Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Compania stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Compania de Minas, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Compania based on analysis of Compania hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Compania's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Compania's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.004790.0063020.0072480.012
Price To Sales Ratio4.72.532.912.77

Pair Trading with Compania

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Compania position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Compania will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Compania Stock

  0.94B Barrick Mining Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.91AA Alcoa CorpPairCorr
  0.94AU AngloGold Ashanti plcPairCorr
  0.82NG NovaGold ResourcesPairCorr
  0.89SA Seabridge GoldPairCorr
  0.92WS Worthington SteelPairCorr

Moving against Compania Stock

  0.62GML Gateway MiningPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Compania could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Compania when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Compania - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Compania de Minas to buy it.
The correlation of Compania is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Compania moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Compania de Minas moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Compania can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Compania de Minas offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Compania's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Compania De Minas Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Compania De Minas Stock:
Check out Compania Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Compania diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Compania. Projected growth potential of Compania fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Compania data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
Dividend Share
0.292
Earnings Share
1.59
Revenue Per Share
5.543
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.302
Understanding Compania de Minas requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Compania's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Compania's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Compania's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Compania's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Compania should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Compania's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.