Cbl Associates Properties Stock Price Prediction
| CBL Stock | USD 33.02 1.08 3.38% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.258 | Wall Street Target Price 34 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using CBL Associates hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CBL Associates Properties from the perspective of CBL Associates response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CBL Associates using CBL Associates' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CBL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CBL Associates' stock price.
CBL Associates Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
CBL Associates' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CBL Associates Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CBL Associates' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CBL Associates stock will not fluctuate a lot when CBL Associates' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CBL Associates to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CBL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CBL Associates after-hype prediction price | USD 32.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CBL contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CBL Associates Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With CBL Associates trading at USD 33.02, that is roughly USD 0.00743 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CBL Associates' daily price movement you should consider acquiring CBL Associates Properties options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
CBL |
CBL Associates After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CBL Associates at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CBL Associates or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CBL Associates, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CBL Associates Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CBL Associates' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CBL Associates' historical news coverage. CBL Associates' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.37 and 34.61, respectively. We have considered CBL Associates' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CBL Associates is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CBL Associates Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
CBL Associates Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CBL Associates is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CBL Associates backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CBL Associates, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.62 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.02 | 32.99 | 0.09 |
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CBL Associates Hype Timeline
On the 16th of February 2025 CBL Associates Properties is traded for 33.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. CBL is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on CBL Associates is about 1304.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.06. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CBL Associates was currently reported as 9.87. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2024. CBL Associates Properties had 2:1 split on the 16th of June 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CBL Associates Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CBL Associates Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CBL Associates' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CBL Associates' future price movements. Getting to know how CBL Associates' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CBL Associates may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | (0.31) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.93 | (3.16) | 6.30 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.91 | (2.15) | 6.86 | |
| UE | Urban Edge Properties | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.98 | (2.67) | 5.74 | |
| AKR | Acadia Realty Trust | (0.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.14 | (2.97) | 6.76 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.55) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.19 | (2.42) | 5.88 | |
| ALX | Alexanders | 2.47 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.70 | (2.77) | 8.47 | |
| IVT | Inventrust Properties Corp | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.60 | (2.01) | 5.29 | |
| RPT | Rithm Property Trust | 0.11 | 10 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 4.18 | (3.04) | 11.82 | |
| BRX | Brixmor Property | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.92 | (2.05) | 4.98 | |
| NTST | Netstreit Corp | 0.43 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.60 | (3.01) | 7.44 | |
| GTY | Getty Realty | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.40 | (2.10) | 5.80 | |
| PINE | Alpineome Property Trust | (0.08) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.18 | (1.79) | 9.51 |
CBL Associates Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CBL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CBL using various technical indicators. When you analyze CBL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About CBL Associates Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CBL Associates stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CBL Associates Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CBL Associates based on analysis of CBL Associates hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CBL Associates's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CBL Associates's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.15 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.43 | 1.76 |
Story Coverage note for CBL Associates
The number of cover stories for CBL Associates depends on current market conditions and CBL Associates' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CBL Associates is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CBL Associates' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
CBL Associates Short Properties
CBL Associates' future price predictability will typically decrease when CBL Associates' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CBL Associates Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CBL Associates' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CBL Associates' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.2 M |
Check out CBL Associates Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CBL Associates. If investors know CBL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CBL Associates listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.258 | Dividend Share 1.575 | Earnings Share 0.92 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of CBL Associates Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CBL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CBL Associates' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CBL Associates' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CBL Associates' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CBL Associates' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CBL Associates' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CBL Associates is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CBL Associates' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.