Collective Mining Stock Price Patterns
| CNL Stock | CAD 21.45 2.12 8.99% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.64) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.53) | Wall Street Target Price 30 |
Using Collective Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Collective Mining from the perspective of Collective Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Collective Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Collective because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Collective Mining after-hype prediction price | CAD 21.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Collective |
Collective Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Collective Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Collective Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Collective Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Collective Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Collective Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Collective Mining's historical news coverage. Collective Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.17 and 25.35, respectively. We have considered Collective Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Collective Mining is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Collective Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Collective Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Collective Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Collective Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Collective Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 4.09 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.45 | 21.26 | 0.89 |
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Collective Mining Hype Timeline
Collective Mining is currently traded for 21.45on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Collective is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.89%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Collective Mining is about 8978.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.48. About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.66. Collective Mining had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:4 split on the 28th of May 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Collective Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Collective Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Collective Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Collective Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Collective Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Collective Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSA | Mineros SA | (0.03) | 8 per month | 3.18 | 0.14 | 5.01 | (5.13) | 17.75 | |
| RUP | Rupert Resources | 0.09 | 3 per month | 2.85 | 0.07 | 5.52 | (3.90) | 15.74 | |
| NDM | Northern Dynasty Minerals | 0.02 | 6 per month | 4.78 | 0.01 | 8.79 | (9.03) | 22.17 | |
| ASE | Asante Gold | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.88 | (7.22) | 17.05 | |
| SLS | Solaris Resources | 0.04 | 9 per month | 3.06 | 0.16 | 5.36 | (3.30) | 21.48 | |
| CFP | Canfor | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.16 | 0.12 | 5.37 | (3.74) | 12.01 | |
| IAU | i 80 Gold Corp | 0.04 | 7 per month | 3.48 | 0.23 | 5.56 | (5.43) | 18.10 | |
| RBX | Res Robex | (0.31) | 4 per month | 3.59 | 0.1 | 6.04 | (6.66) | 16.72 | |
| MUX | McEwen Mining | 0.52 | 8 per month | 4.07 | 0.09 | 6.49 | (7.57) | 21.05 |
Collective Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Collective price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Collective using various technical indicators. When you analyze Collective charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Collective Mining Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Collective Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Collective Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Collective Mining based on analysis of Collective Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Collective Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Collective Mining's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PB Ratio | 14.59 | 7.67 | 8.82 | 12.53 | Capex To Depreciation | 1.44 | 0.7 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
Pair Trading with Collective Mining
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Collective Mining position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Collective Mining will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Collective Stock
| 0.84 | AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | ABX | Barrick Gold Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | FNV | Franco Nevada | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | K | Kinross Gold Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | AGI | Alamos Gold | PairCorr |
Moving against Collective Stock
| 0.67 | MSFT | Microsoft Corp CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | MSFT | Microsoft CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | BRK | Berkshire Hathaway CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | BRK | Berkshire Hathaway CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | AAPL | Apple CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | AAPL | Apple Inc CDR | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Collective Mining could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Collective Mining when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Collective Mining - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Collective Mining to buy it.
The correlation of Collective Mining is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Collective Mining moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Collective Mining moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Collective Mining can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Collective Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Collective Stock, please use our How to Invest in Collective Mining guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.