Coal India (India) Price Prediction
| COALINDIA | 417.45 3.40 0.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year 23.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.43 | Wall Street Target Price 523.9583 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 5.85 |
Using Coal India hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coal India Limited from the perspective of Coal India response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Coal India to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Coal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Coal India after-hype prediction price | INR 417.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Coal |
Coal India After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coal India at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coal India or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coal India, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coal India Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coal India's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coal India's historical news coverage. Coal India's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 415.50 and 418.68, respectively. We have considered Coal India's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coal India is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coal India Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coal India Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coal India is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coal India backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coal India, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.59 | 0.36 | 9.66 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
417.45 | 417.09 | 0.09 |
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Coal India Hype Timeline
Coal India Limited is currently traded for 417.45on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -9.66. Coal is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 417.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 138.26%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Coal India is about 5.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 407.79. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Coal India was currently reported as 156.17. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 58.55. Coal India Limited last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Coal India Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Coal India Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coal India's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coal India's future price movements. Getting to know how Coal India's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coal India may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DHUNINV | Dhunseri Investments Limited | (199.85) | 3 per month | 3.46 | 0.13 | 8.37 | (7.54) | 28.26 | |
| ASALCBR | Associated Alcohols Breweries | 5.65 | 3 per month | 2.32 | 0.03 | 4.53 | (5.00) | 17.02 | |
| ABDL | Allied Blenders Distillers | 5.95 | 2 per month | 2.12 | (0.03) | 6.15 | (3.86) | 12.44 | |
| VBL | Varun Beverages Limited | (32.85) | 5 per month | 1.93 | (0.04) | 4.61 | (3.27) | 12.12 | |
| HDFCAMC | HDFC Asset Management | (18.70) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.31 | (2.36) | 9.36 | |
| RKDL | Ravi Kumar Distilleries | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.95 | (4.49) | 10.01 | |
| UTIAMC | UTI Asset Management | (6.35) | 4 per month | 1.97 | 0.03 | 4.66 | (3.30) | 14.01 | |
| UBL | United Breweries Limited | (3.25) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.72 | (1.97) | 6.70 |
Coal India Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Coal India Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Coal India stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Coal India Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Coal India based on analysis of Coal India hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Coal India's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Coal India's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Coal India
The number of cover stories for Coal India depends on current market conditions and Coal India's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coal India is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coal India's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Coal India Short Properties
Coal India's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coal India's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coal India Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coal India's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coal India's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 334.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Coal Stock analysis
When running Coal India's price analysis, check to measure Coal India's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coal India is operating at the current time. Most of Coal India's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coal India's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coal India's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coal India to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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