Csw Industrials Stock Price Prediction
| CSWI Stock | USD 318.12 0.71 0.22% |
Momentum 28
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.712 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.2589 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.444 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.5388 | Wall Street Target Price 374.3333 |
Using CSW Industrials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CSW Industrials from the perspective of CSW Industrials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CSW Industrials using CSW Industrials' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CSW using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CSW Industrials' stock price.
CSW Industrials Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CSW Industrials' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CSW. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CSW Industrials stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 330.2935 | Short Percent 0.0204 | Short Ratio 2.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 341.4 K | 50 Day MA 362.8283 |
CSW Industrials Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CSW Industrials' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CSW. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CSW can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CSW Industrials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CSW Industrials' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CSW Industrials.
CSW Industrials Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
CSW Industrials' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CSW Industrials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CSW Industrials' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CSW Industrials stock will not fluctuate a lot when CSW Industrials' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CSW Industrials to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CSW because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CSW Industrials after-hype prediction price | USD 320.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CSW contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CSW Industrials will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With CSW Industrials trading at USD 318.12, that is roughly USD 0.0676 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CSW Industrials' daily price movement you should consider acquiring CSW Industrials options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
CSW |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CSW Industrials' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CSW Industrials After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CSW Industrials at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CSW Industrials or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CSW Industrials, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CSW Industrials Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CSW Industrials' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CSW Industrials' historical news coverage. CSW Industrials' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 286.31 and 321.99, respectively. We have considered CSW Industrials' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CSW Industrials is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CSW Industrials is based on 3 months time horizon.
CSW Industrials Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CSW Industrials is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSW Industrials backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CSW Industrials, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 1.82 | 2.05 | 0.21 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
318.12 | 320.17 | 0.64 |
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CSW Industrials Hype Timeline
CSW Industrials is currently traded for 318.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. CSW is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 320.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 35.48%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on CSW Industrials is about 340.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 318.33. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 792.84 M. Net Income was 101.65 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 385.07 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CSW Industrials Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CSW Industrials Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CSW Industrials' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CSW Industrials' future price movements. Getting to know how CSW Industrials' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CSW Industrials may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EPAC | Enerpac Tool Group | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.97 | (2.90) | 5.93 | |
| LXFR | Luxfer Holdings PLC | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.16 | (0) | 3.09 | (3.45) | 8.04 | |
| JBT | JBT Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | 0.24 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.14 | (2.09) | 6.69 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | 0.24 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.95 | (1.71) | 12.03 | |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies | 3.45 | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.03 | 2.05 | (2.48) | 9.23 | |
| DCI | Donaldson | 0.20 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.70 | (2.15) | 8.79 | |
| GRC | Gorman Rupp | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.09 | (2.53) | 7.48 | |
| CIR | CIRCOR International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TAYD | Taylor Devices | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.88 | (4.56) | 19.53 | |
| HURC | Hurco Companies | 0.75 | 5 per month | 2.35 | 0.02 | 3.11 | (3.55) | 14.38 | |
| OFLX | Omega Flex | 0.84 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.92 | (3.06) | 9.62 | |
| NPO | Enpro Industries | 1.11 | 7 per month | 1.61 | 0.16 | 2.55 | (2.11) | 9.38 |
CSW Industrials Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CSW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CSW using various technical indicators. When you analyze CSW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CSW Industrials Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CSW Industrials stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CSW Industrials, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CSW Industrials based on analysis of CSW Industrials hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CSW Industrials's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CSW Industrials's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004899 | 0.003277 | 0.003769 | 0.00358 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.84 | 4.54 | 4.09 | 2.17 |
Story Coverage note for CSW Industrials
The number of cover stories for CSW Industrials depends on current market conditions and CSW Industrials' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CSW Industrials is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CSW Industrials' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CSW Industrials Short Properties
CSW Industrials' future price predictability will typically decrease when CSW Industrials' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CSW Industrials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CSW Industrials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSW Industrials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.2 M |
Complementary Tools for CSW Stock analysis
When running CSW Industrials' price analysis, check to measure CSW Industrials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSW Industrials is operating at the current time. Most of CSW Industrials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSW Industrials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSW Industrials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSW Industrials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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