Canadian Tire Stock Price Prediction
| CTC Stock | CAD 233.56 11.31 5.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.023 | Wall Street Target Price 4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Canadian Tire hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canadian Tire from the perspective of Canadian Tire response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canadian Tire to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canadian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Canadian Tire after-hype prediction price | CAD 234.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Canadian |
Canadian Tire After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Canadian Tire at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canadian Tire or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Canadian Tire, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Canadian Tire Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Canadian Tire's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canadian Tire's historical news coverage. Canadian Tire's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 232.46 and 235.80, respectively. We have considered Canadian Tire's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Canadian Tire is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canadian Tire is based on 3 months time horizon.
Canadian Tire Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canadian Tire is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canadian Tire backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canadian Tire, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.67 | 0.57 | 0.05 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
233.56 | 234.13 | 0.24 |
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Canadian Tire Hype Timeline
Canadian Tire is currently traded for 233.56on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Canadian is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 234.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 14.77%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Canadian Tire is about 175.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 233.51. The company reported the revenue of 16.66 B. Net Income was 339.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.74 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Canadian Tire Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Canadian Tire Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Canadian Tire's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canadian Tire's future price movements. Getting to know how Canadian Tire's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canadian Tire may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTC-A | Canadian Tire | (0.68) | 2 per month | 0.89 | (0.13) | 1.66 | (1.47) | 5.12 | |
| L | Loblaw Companies Limited | 1.83 | 1 per month | 1.25 | (0.06) | 1.72 | (1.93) | 5.16 | |
| MRU | Metro Inc | 0.70 | 1 per month | 0.68 | (0.01) | 1.45 | (1.32) | 3.55 | |
| WN | George Weston Limited | (6.41) | 2 per month | 1.16 | (0.11) | 1.65 | (1.66) | 4.96 | |
| DOL | Dollarama | (0.20) | 4 per month | 1.10 | 0 | 2.25 | (2.30) | 11.43 |
Canadian Tire Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Canadian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canadian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canadian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Canadian Tire Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Canadian Tire stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canadian Tire, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian Tire based on analysis of Canadian Tire hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canadian Tire's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canadian Tire's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.039 | 0.0456 | 0.0479 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.51 |
Story Coverage note for Canadian Tire
The number of cover stories for Canadian Tire depends on current market conditions and Canadian Tire's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canadian Tire is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canadian Tire's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Canadian Tire Short Properties
Canadian Tire's future price predictability will typically decrease when Canadian Tire's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Canadian Tire often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Canadian Tire's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Canadian Tire's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 464.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in Canadian Stock
Canadian Tire financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canadian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canadian with respect to the benefits of owning Canadian Tire security.