Curtiss Wright Stock Price Prediction
| CW Stock | USD 338.43 0.41 0.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.151 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.7291 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.9395 | Wall Street Target Price 400.0688 |
Using Curtiss Wright hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Curtiss Wright from the perspective of Curtiss Wright response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Curtiss Wright using Curtiss Wright's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Curtiss using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Curtiss Wright's stock price.
Curtiss Wright Short Interest
An investor who is long Curtiss Wright may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Curtiss Wright and may potentially protect profits, hedge Curtiss Wright with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 314.9112 | Short Percent 0.0093 | Short Ratio 1.09 | Shares Short Prior Month 369.3 K | 50 Day MA 362.9846 |
Curtiss Wright Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Curtiss Wright's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Curtiss. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Curtiss can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Curtiss Wright. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Curtiss Wright's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Curtiss Wright.
Curtiss Wright Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Curtiss Wright's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Curtiss Wright stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Curtiss Wright's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Curtiss Wright stock will not fluctuate a lot when Curtiss Wright's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Curtiss Wright to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Curtiss because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Curtiss Wright after-hype prediction price | USD 346.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Curtiss contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Curtiss Wright will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Curtiss Wright trading at USD 338.43, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Curtiss Wright's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Curtiss Wright options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Curtiss |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Curtiss Wright's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Curtiss Wright After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Curtiss Wright at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Curtiss Wright or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Curtiss Wright, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Curtiss Wright Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Curtiss Wright's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Curtiss Wright's historical news coverage. Curtiss Wright's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 344.47 and 349.43, respectively. We have considered Curtiss Wright's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Curtiss Wright is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Curtiss Wright is based on 3 months time horizon.
Curtiss Wright Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Curtiss Wright is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Curtiss Wright backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Curtiss Wright, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.48 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
338.43 | 346.95 | 0.03 |
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Curtiss Wright Hype Timeline
As of January 30, 2025 Curtiss Wright is listed for 338.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Curtiss is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 346.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 58.63%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Curtiss Wright is about 591.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 338.44. The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.85 B. Reported Net Income was 354.51 M with gross profit of 1.14 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Curtiss Wright Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Curtiss Wright Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Curtiss Wright's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Curtiss Wright's future price movements. Getting to know how Curtiss Wright's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Curtiss Wright may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | 0.08 | 3.16 | (3.76) | 29.10 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | 1.78 | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.04 | 2.85 | (3.07) | 15.31 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | 0.08 | 3.18 | (3.88) | 12.14 | |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.36 | (2.64) | 22.04 | |
| PKE | Park Electrochemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.67 | 0.03 | 3.03 | (2.98) | 12.76 | |
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.23 | 5.05 | (2.29) | 15.24 | |
| KAMN | Kaman | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | (0.53) | 8 per month | 2.42 | (0.02) | 3.31 | (4.03) | 16.21 | |
| HXL | Hexcel | 2.94 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.07 | 2.81 | (2.07) | 8.49 | |
| VVX | V2X Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.85 | (5.48) | 20.17 |
Curtiss Wright Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Curtiss price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Curtiss using various technical indicators. When you analyze Curtiss charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Curtiss Wright Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Curtiss Wright stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Curtiss Wright, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Curtiss Wright based on analysis of Curtiss Wright hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Curtiss Wright's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Curtiss Wright's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00449 | 0.003547 | 0.004079 | 0.003875 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.51 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.83 |
Story Coverage note for Curtiss Wright
The number of cover stories for Curtiss Wright depends on current market conditions and Curtiss Wright's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Curtiss Wright is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Curtiss Wright's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Curtiss Wright Short Properties
Curtiss Wright's future price predictability will typically decrease when Curtiss Wright's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Curtiss Wright often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Curtiss Wright's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Curtiss Wright's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 406.9 M |
Additional Tools for Curtiss Stock Analysis
When running Curtiss Wright's price analysis, check to measure Curtiss Wright's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Curtiss Wright is operating at the current time. Most of Curtiss Wright's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Curtiss Wright's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Curtiss Wright's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Curtiss Wright to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.