Dover Stock Price Prediction
| DOV Stock | USD 195.08 0.60 0.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
36
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.219 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.1652 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.3384 | Wall Street Target Price 214.7642 |
Using Dover hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dover from the perspective of Dover response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dover using Dover's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dover using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dover's stock price.
Dover Short Interest
An investor who is long Dover may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dover and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dover with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 185.8168 | Short Percent 0.0171 | Short Ratio 2.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 196.5756 |
Dover Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dover's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dover. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dover can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dover. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dover's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dover.
Dover Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Dover's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dover stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dover's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dover stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dover's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dover to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dover because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dover after-hype prediction price | USD 195.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dover contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dover will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Dover trading at USD 195.08, that is roughly USD 0.0451 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dover's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dover options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Dover |
Dover After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dover at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dover or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dover, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dover Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dover's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dover's historical news coverage. Dover's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 193.71 and 196.45, respectively. We have considered Dover's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dover is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dover is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dover Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dover is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dover backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dover, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
195.08 | 195.08 | 0.00 |
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Dover Hype Timeline
On the 18th of January 2025 Dover is traded for 195.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dover is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dover is about 833.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 195.08. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Dover was currently reported as 41.53. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. Dover recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.04. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The firm had 1238:1000 split on the 9th of May 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Dover Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dover Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dover's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dover's future price movements. Getting to know how Dover's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dover may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMR | Emerson Electric | (0.20) | 10 per month | 1.10 | 0.08 | 2.06 | (1.63) | 12.26 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 0.90 | 13 per month | 1.11 | 0.03 | 1.77 | (1.57) | 11.90 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | 0.51 | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.04 | 1.72 | (1.52) | 6.74 | |
| ETN | Eaton PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | (0.01) | 1.92 | (2.11) | 9.88 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | (0.24) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.76 | (2.02) | 5.39 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 0.35 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.52 | (1.21) | 5.88 | |
| XYL | Xylem Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.63 | (3.14) | 6.76 | |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.20 | (2.14) | 13.66 | |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand | (0.26) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.13 | (2.30) | 10.20 | |
| CMI | Cummins | 0.66 | 8 per month | 0.90 | 0.07 | 1.93 | (1.68) | 11.78 |
Dover Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dover price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dover using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dover charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dover Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dover stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dover, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dover based on analysis of Dover hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dover's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dover's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0149 | 0.0132 | 0.0152 | 0.0263 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.27 | 2.55 | 2.29 | 2.41 |
Story Coverage note for Dover
The number of cover stories for Dover depends on current market conditions and Dover's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dover is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dover's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dover Short Properties
Dover's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dover's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dover often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dover's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dover's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 398.6 M |
Additional Tools for Dover Stock Analysis
When running Dover's price analysis, check to measure Dover's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dover is operating at the current time. Most of Dover's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dover's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dover's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dover to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.