Ducommun Incorporated Stock Price Patterns
| DCO Stock | USD 121.17 1.31 1.07% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.577 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0175 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.6772 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.4471 | Wall Street Target Price 121.6 |
Using Ducommun Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ducommun Incorporated from the perspective of Ducommun Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ducommun Incorporated using Ducommun Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ducommun using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ducommun Incorporated's stock price.
Ducommun Incorporated Short Interest
An investor who is long Ducommun Incorporated may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ducommun Incorporated and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ducommun Incorporated with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 89.3607 | Short Percent 0.0271 | Short Ratio 2.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 347.8 K | 50 Day MA 102.755 |
Ducommun Incorporated Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ducommun Incorporated's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ducommun. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ducommun can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ducommun Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ducommun Incorporated's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ducommun Incorporated.
Ducommun Incorporated Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Ducommun Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ducommun Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ducommun Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ducommun Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ducommun Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ducommun Incorporated to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ducommun because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ducommun Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 121.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ducommun contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ducommun Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Ducommun Incorporated trading at USD 121.17, that is roughly USD 0.0485 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ducommun Incorporated's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ducommun Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Ducommun Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ducommun Incorporated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ducommun Incorporated After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ducommun Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ducommun Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ducommun Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ducommun Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ducommun Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ducommun Incorporated's historical news coverage. Ducommun Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 120.06 and 123.70, respectively. We have considered Ducommun Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ducommun Incorporated is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ducommun Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ducommun Incorporated Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ducommun Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ducommun Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ducommun Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 1.82 | 0.71 | 0.46 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
121.17 | 121.88 | 0.59 |
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Ducommun Incorporated Hype Timeline
On the 11th of February 2026 Ducommun Incorporated is traded for 121.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.71, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.46. Ducommun is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 121.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 126.39%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.59%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Ducommun Incorporated is about 195.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 121.63. The company reported the last year's revenue of 786.55 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 31.5 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 208.57 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Ducommun Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ducommun Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ducommun Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ducommun Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Ducommun Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ducommun Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WLDN | Willdan Group | 3.21 | 10 per month | 3.43 | 0.08 | 5.41 | (4.28) | 18.57 | |
| NSSC | NAPCO Security Technologies | 2.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.55 | (3.71) | 12.64 | |
| EVEX | Eve Holding | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.46 | (6.70) | 25.14 | |
| JBI | Janus International Group | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.64 | (3.43) | 25.73 | |
| CYD | China Yuchai International | 3.64 | 9 per month | 1.74 | 0.13 | 5.02 | (3.36) | 13.57 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | 0.38 | 10 per month | 5.47 | 0.03 | 9.07 | (6.84) | 35.68 | |
| CDRE | Cadre Holdings | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.15 | (3.69) | 9.13 | |
| HSII | Heidrick Struggles International | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.90 | (1.41) | 19.72 | |
| RDW | Redwire Corp | (0.49) | 10 per month | 6.69 | 0.07 | 14.09 | (10.92) | 41.83 | |
| CMRE | Costamare | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.74 | 0.13 | 3.17 | (2.62) | 10.89 |
Ducommun Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ducommun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ducommun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ducommun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ducommun Incorporated Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ducommun Incorporated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ducommun Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ducommun Incorporated based on analysis of Ducommun Incorporated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ducommun Incorporated's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ducommun Incorporated's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00531 | 0.005045 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.08 | 1.13 |
Pair Trading with Ducommun Incorporated
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ducommun Incorporated position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ducommun Incorporated will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Ducommun Stock
| 0.9 | BA | Boeing | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | GD | General Dynamics | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | VOYG | Voyager Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.98 | AIR | AAR Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | FLY | Firefly Aerospace Common | PairCorr |
| 0.96 | LHX | L3Harris Technologies | PairCorr |
Moving against Ducommun Stock
| 0.84 | PBCRY | Bank Central Asia | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | PBCRF | PT Bank Central | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | NVNIW | Nvni Group Limited | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ducommun Incorporated could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ducommun Incorporated when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ducommun Incorporated - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ducommun Incorporated to buy it.
The correlation of Ducommun Incorporated is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ducommun Incorporated moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ducommun Incorporated moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ducommun Incorporated can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Ducommun Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Ducommun Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ducommun Incorporated guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Will Aerospace & Defense sector continue expanding? Could Ducommun diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ducommun Incorporated. Projected growth potential of Ducommun fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ducommun Incorporated data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.577 | Earnings Share (2.31) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Ducommun Incorporated requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ducommun's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ducommun Incorporated's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ducommun Incorporated's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Ducommun Incorporated's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ducommun Incorporated should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Ducommun Incorporated's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.