Yum China Holdings Stock Price Prediction

YUMC Stock  USD 47.58  0.51  1.08%   
The relative strength indicator of Yum China's the stock price is about 63. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Yum, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Yum China's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Yum China Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Yum China's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.328
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.31
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.3408
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.5639
Wall Street Target Price
56.218
Using Yum China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yum China Holdings from the perspective of Yum China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Yum China Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Yum China's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Yum. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Yum can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Yum China Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Yum China's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Yum China.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Yum China to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Yum because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Yum China after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 46.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Yum China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.3654.9457.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.8442.8945.94
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
66.3272.8880.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.590.60
Details

Yum China After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Yum China at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yum China or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yum China, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Yum China Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Yum China's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yum China's historical news coverage. Yum China's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.51 and 49.61, respectively. We have considered Yum China's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
47.58
46.56
After-hype Price
49.61
Upside
Yum China is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yum China Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Yum China Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yum China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yum China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yum China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.59 
3.05
  0.52 
  0.64 
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
47.58
46.56
1.08 
346.59  
Notes

Yum China Hype Timeline

Yum China Holdings is at this time traded for 47.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.64. Yum is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 46.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Yum China is about 283.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.22. About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Yum China was at this time reported as 15.79. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.32. Yum China Holdings last dividend was issued on the 26th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Yum China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Yum China Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Yum China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yum China's future price movements. Getting to know how Yum China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yum China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DRIDarden Restaurants 2.06 10 per month 0.97  0.02  1.90 (1.75) 11.46 
WENThe Wendys Co(0.27)9 per month 1.79  0.01  3.27 (2.45) 10.31 
DPZDominos Pizza 11.40 8 per month 1.19  0.01  2.92 (2.11) 7.92 
QSRRestaurant Brands International 0.60 11 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.06 (2.06) 6.17 
WINGWingstop 2.76 10 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.90 (4.14) 26.70 
PZZAPapa Johns International(0.04)7 per month 2.39  0.03  4.22 (4.50) 10.62 
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill 0.32 7 per month 2.06  0.06  2.74 (2.68) 10.78 
EATBrinker International(1.28)10 per month 1.25  0.35  5.04 (2.48) 11.91 
JACKJack In The(0.83)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.33 (4.93) 11.59 
YUMYum Brands(2.35)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.48 (1.64) 6.05 
DINDine Brands Global 2.54 10 per month 2.87 (0) 4.47 (4.50) 19.97 
BJRIBJs Restaurants(0.88)8 per month 2.27  0.03  4.05 (2.64) 13.19 
RUTHRuths Hospitality Group(0.03)9 per month 0.94  0.07  1.75 (2.63) 34.37 

Yum China Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Yum price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yum using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yum charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Yum China Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Yum China stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Yum China Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Yum China based on analysis of Yum China hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Yum China's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Yum China's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0096520.008780.01220.006845
Price To Sales Ratio2.132.41.611.46

Story Coverage note for Yum China

The number of cover stories for Yum China depends on current market conditions and Yum China's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yum China is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yum China's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Yum China Short Properties

Yum China's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yum China's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yum China Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yum China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yum China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding420 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B

Complementary Tools for Yum Stock analysis

When running Yum China's price analysis, check to measure Yum China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yum China is operating at the current time. Most of Yum China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yum China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yum China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yum China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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