Bakrieland Development (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| ELTY Stock | IDR 13.00 1.00 7.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bakrieland Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bakrieland Development Tbk from the perspective of Bakrieland Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bakrieland Development to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bakrieland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bakrieland Development after-hype prediction price | IDR 13.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bakrieland |
Bakrieland Development After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bakrieland Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bakrieland Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bakrieland Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bakrieland Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bakrieland Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bakrieland Development's historical news coverage. Bakrieland Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.52 and 18.48, respectively. We have considered Bakrieland Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bakrieland Development is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bakrieland Development is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bakrieland Development Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bakrieland Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bakrieland Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bakrieland Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.73 | 5.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.00 | 13.00 | 0.00 |
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Bakrieland Development Hype Timeline
Bakrieland Development is currently traded for 13.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bakrieland is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.73%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bakrieland Development is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bakrieland Development recorded a loss per share of 6.31. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of June 2010. The firm had 1:10 split on the 7th of June 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Bakrieland Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bakrieland Development Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bakrieland Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bakrieland Development's future price movements. Getting to know how Bakrieland Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bakrieland Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNBR | Bakrie Brothers Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.05 | 0.18 | 9.76 | (8.33) | 19.09 | |
| UNSP | Bakrie Sumatera Plantations | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | 0.23 | 5.75 | (2.25) | 11.43 | |
| ENRG | Energi Mega Persada | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.15 | 0.07 | 6.80 | (5.92) | 27.15 | |
| DEWA | Darma Henwa Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.40 | 0.16 | 10.34 | (7.14) | 26.65 | |
| BUMI | Bumi Resources Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | 0.13 | 11.43 | (4.48) | 24.78 |
Bakrieland Development Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bakrieland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bakrieland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bakrieland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Bakrieland Development Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bakrieland Development stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bakrieland Development Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bakrieland Development based on analysis of Bakrieland Development hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bakrieland Development's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bakrieland Development's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bakrieland Development
The number of cover stories for Bakrieland Development depends on current market conditions and Bakrieland Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bakrieland Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bakrieland Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bakrieland Development Short Properties
Bakrieland Development's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bakrieland Development's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bakrieland Development Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bakrieland Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bakrieland Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.3 B |
Other Information on Investing in Bakrieland Stock
Bakrieland Development financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bakrieland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bakrieland with respect to the benefits of owning Bakrieland Development security.