Empire Company Limited Stock Price Prediction
| EMP-A Stock | CAD 41.25 0.05 0.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.74 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3 | Wall Street Target Price 44 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.88 |
Using Empire Company hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Empire Company Limited from the perspective of Empire Company response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Empire Company to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Empire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Empire Company after-hype prediction price | CAD 41.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Empire |
Empire Company After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Empire Company at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Empire Company or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Empire Company, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Empire Company Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Empire Company's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Empire Company's historical news coverage. Empire Company's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.10 and 42.48, respectively. We have considered Empire Company's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Empire Company is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Empire Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Empire Company Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Empire Company is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Empire Company backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Empire Company, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.19 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
41.25 | 41.29 | 0.10 |
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Empire Company Hype Timeline
Empire Limited is currently traded for 41.25on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Empire is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 41.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Empire Company is about 278.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.31. The company reported the revenue of 30.73 B. Net Income was 762.6 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.9 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Empire Company Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Empire Company Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Empire Company's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Empire Company's future price movements. Getting to know how Empire Company's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Empire Company may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRU | Metro Inc | 0.70 | 1 per month | 0.70 | 0 | 1.45 | (1.32) | 3.55 | |
| WN | George Weston Limited | (0.41) | 4 per month | 1.13 | (0.07) | 1.65 | (1.66) | 4.96 | |
| SAP | Saputo Inc | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.13 | (1.65) | 5.40 | |
| L | Loblaw Companies Limited | 1.83 | 1 per month | 1.25 | (0.04) | 1.72 | (1.93) | 5.16 | |
| MFI | Maple Leaf Foods | 0.06 | 2 per month | 1.34 | (0.06) | 2.08 | (2.16) | 8.39 |
Empire Company Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Empire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Empire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Empire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Empire Company Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Empire Company stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Empire Company Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Empire Company based on analysis of Empire Company hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Empire Company's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Empire Company's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 2.25 | 1.81 | 1.49 | 1.18 | Dividend Yield | 0.0139 | 0.018 | 0.0228 | 0.0114 |
Story Coverage note for Empire Company
The number of cover stories for Empire Company depends on current market conditions and Empire Company's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Empire Company is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Empire Company's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Empire Company Short Properties
Empire Company's future price predictability will typically decrease when Empire Company's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Empire Company Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Empire Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empire Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 248.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 259.6 M |
Additional Tools for Empire Stock Analysis
When running Empire Company's price analysis, check to measure Empire Company's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire Company is operating at the current time. Most of Empire Company's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire Company's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire Company's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire Company to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.