Enphase Energy Stock Price Prediction
| ENPH Stock | USD 62.05 1.18 1.94% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.91 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1779 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6511 | Wall Street Target Price 87.7783 |
Using Enphase Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enphase Energy from the perspective of Enphase Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Enphase Energy using Enphase Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Enphase using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Enphase Energy's stock price.
Enphase Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Enphase Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Enphase. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Enphase Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 98.4695 | Short Percent 0.2047 | Short Ratio 6.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 20.1 M | 50 Day MA 68.6304 |
Enphase Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Enphase Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Enphase. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Enphase can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Enphase Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Enphase Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Enphase Energy.
Enphase Energy Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Enphase Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Enphase Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Enphase Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Enphase Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Enphase Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Enphase Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Enphase because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Enphase Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 60.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Enphase contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Enphase Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Enphase Energy trading at USD 62.05, that is roughly USD 0.0275 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Enphase Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Enphase Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Enphase |
Enphase Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Enphase Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enphase Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enphase Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Enphase Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Enphase Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enphase Energy's historical news coverage. Enphase Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.54 and 64.94, respectively. We have considered Enphase Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Enphase Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enphase Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Enphase Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enphase Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enphase Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enphase Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 4.20 | 1.31 | 0.22 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.05 | 60.74 | 2.11 |
|
Enphase Energy Hype Timeline
Enphase Energy is currently traded for 62.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Enphase is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 60.74. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 156.72%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Enphase Energy is about 938.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.83. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.16. Enphase Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Enphase Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Enphase Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Enphase Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enphase Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Enphase Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enphase Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSLR | First Solar | (3.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.34 | (4.86) | 15.51 | |
| RUN | Sunrun Inc | (0.31) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.53 | (9.13) | 38.57 | |
| CSIQ | Canadian Solar | (0.71) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.27 | (7.84) | 35.56 | |
| SPWR | SunPower | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 10.29 | (40.08) | 75.00 | |
| SEDG | SolarEdge Technologies | (1.49) | 10 per month | 7.30 | (0.01) | 11.74 | (10.53) | 31.42 | |
| NOVA | Sunnova Energy International | 0.19 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 14.31 | (13.08) | 65.87 | |
| JKS | JinkoSolar Holding | 1.00 | 10 per month | 4.91 | (0) | 7.64 | (6.45) | 32.08 | |
| MAXN | Maxeon Solar Technologies | 1.18 | 8 per month | 7.48 | 0.06 | 15.60 | (13.22) | 59.83 |
Enphase Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Enphase price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enphase using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enphase charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Enphase Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Enphase Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Enphase Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Enphase Energy based on analysis of Enphase Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Enphase Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Enphase Energy's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 10.84 | 10.61 | 12.2 | 10.43 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 40.29 | 63.26 | 56.93 | 30.7 |
Story Coverage note for Enphase Energy
The number of cover stories for Enphase Energy depends on current market conditions and Enphase Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enphase Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enphase Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Enphase Energy Short Properties
Enphase Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Enphase Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Enphase Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Enphase Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enphase Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Complementary Tools for Enphase Stock analysis
When running Enphase Energy's price analysis, check to measure Enphase Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enphase Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Enphase Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enphase Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enphase Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enphase Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume |