Enphase Energy Stock Volatility

ENPH Stock  USD 66.29  2.72  4.28%   
Enphase Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.2, which denotes the company had a -0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Enphase Energy exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Enphase Energy's Variance of 18.22, standard deviation of 4.27, and Mean Deviation of 3.02 to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Enphase Energy's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Enphase Energy Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Enphase daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Enphase's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Enphase Energy volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Enphase Energy's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Enphase Energy's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Enphase Energy at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Enphase stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

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Moving against Enphase Stock

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Enphase Energy Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Enphase Energy's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Enphase stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Enphase stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Enphase Energy's beta of -0.24 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Enphase Energy stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Enphase Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.35 and kurtosis of 3.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Enphase Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Enphase Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Enphase Energy Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Enphase Energy correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Enphase Beta

    
  -0.24  
Enphase standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  4.24  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Enphase Energy's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Enphase Energy's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in enphase stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Enphase Energy.

Enphase Energy Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Enphase Energy stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Enphase Energy's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Enphase Energy's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Enphase Energy's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Enphase Energy's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Enphase Energy's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Enphase Energy's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Enphase Energy's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Enphase Energy Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Enphase Energy Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Enphase Energy has a beta of -0.2439 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Enphase Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Enphase Energy is likely to outperform the market.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Enphase Energy or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Enphase Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Enphase stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Enphase Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Enphase Energy's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how enphase stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Enphase Energy Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Enphase Energy Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Enphase Energy is -491.35. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 17.95 and standard deviation of 4.24. The mean deviation of Enphase Energy is currently at 3.01. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.72
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
4.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Enphase Energy Stock Return Volatility

Enphase Energy historical daily return volatility represents how much of Enphase Energy stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 4.2363% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Enphase Energy Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Enphase Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Enphase Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Enphase's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Enphase Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Enphase Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses231.8 M243.4 M
Market Cap412.5 M298.7 M
Enphase Energy's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Enphase Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Enphase Energy's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Enphase Energy's volatility to invest better

Higher Enphase Energy's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Enphase Energy stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Enphase Energy stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Enphase Energy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Enphase Energy's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Enphase Energy's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Enphase Energy Investment Opportunity

Enphase Energy has a volatility of 4.24 and is 5.51 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 37 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Enphase Energy. You can use Enphase Energy to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Enphase Energy to be traded at $82.86 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Enphase Energy and DJI is -0.04 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Enphase Energy and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Enphase Energy Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Enphase Energy's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enphase Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Enphase Energy stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Enphase Energy Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Enphase Energy as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Enphase Energy's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Enphase Energy's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Enphase Energy.

Complementary Tools for Enphase Stock analysis

When running Enphase Energy's price analysis, check to measure Enphase Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enphase Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Enphase Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enphase Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enphase Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enphase Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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