Escalade Incorporated Stock Price Prediction
| ESCA Stock | USD 15.15 0.57 3.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.29 | Wall Street Target Price 20 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using Escalade Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Escalade Incorporated from the perspective of Escalade Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Escalade Incorporated to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Escalade because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Escalade Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 15.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Escalade |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Escalade Incorporated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Escalade Incorporated After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Escalade Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Escalade Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Escalade Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Escalade Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Escalade Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Escalade Incorporated's historical news coverage. Escalade Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.93 and 18.41, respectively. We have considered Escalade Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Escalade Incorporated is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Escalade Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Escalade Incorporated Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Escalade Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Escalade Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Escalade Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 3.24 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.15 | 15.17 | 0.13 |
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Escalade Incorporated Hype Timeline
Escalade Incorporated is currently traded for 15.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Escalade is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Escalade Incorporated is about 64800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.15. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 263.57 M. Net Income was 9.83 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.64 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Escalade Incorporated Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Escalade Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Escalade Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Escalade Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Escalade Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Escalade Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VSTO | Vista Outdoor | 0.08 | 10 per month | 0.52 | 0.06 | 1.86 | (1.42) | 11.03 | |
| FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | (0.11) | 6 per month | 2.08 | (0.0006) | 3.54 | (3.85) | 8.57 | |
| CNLFF | Canlan Ice Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.03 | |
| OSW | OneSpaWorld Holdings | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.15 | 0.15 | 3.27 | (2.29) | 8.13 |
Escalade Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Escalade price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Escalade using various technical indicators. When you analyze Escalade charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Escalade Incorporated Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Escalade Incorporated stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Escalade Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Escalade Incorporated based on analysis of Escalade Incorporated hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Escalade Incorporated's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Escalade Incorporated's related companies. | 2016 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0335 | 0.059 | 0.0224 | 0.0213 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.12 | 0.44 | 1.05 | 1.1 |
Story Coverage note for Escalade Incorporated
The number of cover stories for Escalade Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Escalade Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Escalade Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Escalade Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Escalade Incorporated Short Properties
Escalade Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Escalade Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Escalade Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Escalade Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Escalade Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16 K |
Complementary Tools for Escalade Stock analysis
When running Escalade Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Escalade Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Escalade Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Escalade Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Escalade Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Escalade Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Escalade Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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