Fresh Del Monte Stock Price Prediction
| FDP Stock | USD 31.13 0.06 0.19% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.166 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.86 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.98 | Wall Street Target Price 38 |
Using Fresh Del hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fresh Del Monte from the perspective of Fresh Del response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fresh Del using Fresh Del's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fresh using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fresh Del's stock price.
Fresh Del Short Interest
An investor who is long Fresh Del may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fresh Del and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fresh Del with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 29.2822 | Short Percent 0.0468 | Short Ratio 2.88 | Shares Short Prior Month 900.9 K | 50 Day MA 30.5188 |
Fresh Del Monte Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fresh Del's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fresh. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fresh can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fresh Del Monte. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fresh Del's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fresh Del.
Fresh Del Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Fresh Del's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fresh Del Monte stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fresh Del's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fresh Del stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fresh Del's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fresh Del to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fresh because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fresh Del after-hype prediction price | USD 31.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fresh contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fresh Del Monte will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2025-06-20 option contract. With Fresh Del trading at USD 31.13, that is roughly USD 0.0115 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fresh Del's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fresh Del Monte options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Fresh |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fresh Del's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fresh Del After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fresh Del at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fresh Del or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fresh Del, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fresh Del Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fresh Del's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fresh Del's historical news coverage. Fresh Del's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.83 and 32.55, respectively. We have considered Fresh Del's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fresh Del is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fresh Del Monte is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fresh Del Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fresh Del is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fresh Del backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fresh Del, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.36 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.13 | 31.19 | 0.19 |
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Fresh Del Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of April Fresh Del Monte is traded for 31.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Fresh is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 156.32%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Fresh Del is about 251.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.09. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.28 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 141.6 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 358.4 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Fresh Del Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fresh Del Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fresh Del's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fresh Del's future price movements. Getting to know how Fresh Del's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fresh Del may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALCO | Alico Inc | (0.23) | 11 per month | 1.43 | 0.08 | 3.15 | (2.57) | 23.20 | |
| SANW | SW Seed Company | (0.28) | 6 per month | 3.81 | 0.09 | 10.53 | (6.88) | 42.09 | |
| AGRO | Adecoagro SA | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.92 | 0.17 | 1.78 | (1.93) | 14.34 | |
| LND | Brasilagro Adr | (0.02) | 2 per month | 1.38 | 0.14 | 2.77 | (2.16) | 6.11 | |
| LMNR | Limoneira Co | (2.38) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.62 | (3.78) | 16.71 | |
| TSN | Tyson Foods | (0.48) | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.15 | 2.49 | (2.15) | 5.57 | |
| AFRI | Forafric Global PLC | (0.17) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.66 | (1.70) | 9.89 | |
| DOLE | Dole PLC | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.63 | 0.10 | 2.08 | (2.82) | 7.49 | |
| BG | Bunge Limited | (1.00) | 9 per month | 1.76 | 0.03 | 2.53 | (1.95) | 11.84 | |
| ADM | Archer Daniels Midland | (0.50) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.0009 | 2.87 | (3.21) | 8.83 |
Fresh Del Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fresh price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fresh using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fresh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fresh Del Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fresh Del stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fresh Del Monte, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fresh Del based on analysis of Fresh Del hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fresh Del's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fresh Del's related companies. | 2016 | 2021 | 2022 | 2025 (projected) | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0125 | 0.0181 | 0.0302 | 0.0199 |
| Price To Sales Ratio | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.37 | 0.46 |
Story Coverage note for Fresh Del
The number of cover stories for Fresh Del depends on current market conditions and Fresh Del's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fresh Del is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fresh Del's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fresh Del Short Properties
Fresh Del's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fresh Del's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fresh Del Monte often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fresh Del's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fresh Del's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.6 M |
Additional Tools for Fresh Stock Analysis
When running Fresh Del's price analysis, check to measure Fresh Del's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fresh Del is operating at the current time. Most of Fresh Del's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fresh Del's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fresh Del's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fresh Del to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.