Factset Research Systems Stock Price Prediction

FDS Stock  USD 491.05  3.43  0.70%   
The RSI of FactSet Research's the stock price is slightly above 67. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling FactSet, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of FactSet Research's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FactSet Research and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FactSet Research's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FactSet Research Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting FactSet Research's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.382
EPS Estimate Current Year
16.3
EPS Estimate Next Year
17.36
Wall Street Target Price
461.5218
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
3.62
Using FactSet Research hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FactSet Research Systems from the perspective of FactSet Research response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FactSet Research to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FactSet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FactSet Research after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 488.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out FactSet Research Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FactSet Research's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
438.86501.96503.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
480.22481.44482.67
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
404.95445.00493.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.074.254.51
Details

FactSet Research After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FactSet Research at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FactSet Research or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FactSet Research, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FactSet Research Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FactSet Research's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FactSet Research's historical news coverage. FactSet Research's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 487.25 and 489.69, respectively. We have considered FactSet Research's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
491.05
487.25
Downside
488.47
After-hype Price
489.69
Upside
FactSet Research is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FactSet Research Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.

FactSet Research Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FactSet Research is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FactSet Research backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FactSet Research, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
1.22
  0.85 
  0.53 
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
491.05
488.47
0.17 
40.00  
Notes

FactSet Research Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November FactSet Research Systems is traded for 491.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.85, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.53. FactSet is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 488.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 40.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on FactSet Research is about 64.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 491.58. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.2 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 537.13 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.11 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out FactSet Research Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FactSet Research Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FactSet Research's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FactSet Research's future price movements. Getting to know how FactSet Research's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FactSet Research may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

FactSet Research Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FactSet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FactSet using various technical indicators. When you analyze FactSet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FactSet Research Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FactSet Research stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FactSet Research Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FactSet Research based on analysis of FactSet Research hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FactSet Research's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FactSet Research's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0083150.0093620.006576
Price To Sales Ratio7.997.38.07

Story Coverage note for FactSet Research

The number of cover stories for FactSet Research depends on current market conditions and FactSet Research's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FactSet Research is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FactSet Research's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

FactSet Research Short Properties

FactSet Research's future price predictability will typically decrease when FactSet Research's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FactSet Research Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FactSet Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FactSet Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments492.6 M

Additional Tools for FactSet Stock Analysis

When running FactSet Research's price analysis, check to measure FactSet Research's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FactSet Research is operating at the current time. Most of FactSet Research's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FactSet Research's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FactSet Research's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FactSet Research to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.