Federated Investors B Stock Price Prediction
| FHI Stock | USD 39.75 0.32 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.237 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.92 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.1414 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.1694 | Wall Street Target Price 41.625 |
Using Federated Investors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federated Investors B from the perspective of Federated Investors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Federated Investors using Federated Investors' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Federated using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Federated Investors' stock price.
Federated Investors Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Federated Investors' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Federated Investors B stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Federated Investors' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Federated Investors stock will not fluctuate a lot when Federated Investors' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federated Investors to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federated because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federated Investors after-hype prediction price | USD 39.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Federated contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Federated Investors B will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Federated Investors trading at USD 39.75, that is roughly USD 0.009441 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Federated Investors' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Federated Investors B options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Federated |
Federated Investors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federated Investors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federated Investors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Federated Investors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federated Investors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federated Investors' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federated Investors' historical news coverage. Federated Investors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.66 and 41.06, respectively. We have considered Federated Investors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federated Investors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federated Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federated Investors Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Federated Investors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federated Investors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federated Investors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.20 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.75 | 39.86 | 0.10 |
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Federated Investors Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Federated Investors is traded for 39.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Federated is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 96.77%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Federated Investors is about 18000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.75. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Federated Investors was currently reported as 13.9. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.85. Federated Investors last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 18th of July 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Federated Investors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Federated Investors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federated Investors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federated Investors' future price movements. Getting to know how Federated Investors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federated Investors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Federated Investors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Federated Investors Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federated Investors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Federated Investors B, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federated Investors based on analysis of Federated Investors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federated Investors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federated Investors's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0345 | 0.0311 | 0.034 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.76 | 2.03 | 3.38 |
Story Coverage note for Federated Investors
The number of cover stories for Federated Investors depends on current market conditions and Federated Investors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federated Investors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federated Investors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Federated Investors Short Properties
Federated Investors' future price predictability will typically decrease when Federated Investors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Federated Investors B often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Federated Investors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federated Investors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 560.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Federated Stock analysis
When running Federated Investors' price analysis, check to measure Federated Investors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federated Investors is operating at the current time. Most of Federated Investors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federated Investors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federated Investors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federated Investors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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