First National (Pakistan) Price Prediction
| FNEL Stock | 17.64 0.35 2.02% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First National Equities from the perspective of First National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First National after-hype prediction price | PKR 17.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
First National Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of First National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 6.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.64 | 17.64 | 0.00 |
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First National Hype Timeline
First National Equities is currently traded for 17.64on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on First National is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.64. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.First National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First National's future price movements. Getting to know how First National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFL | Matco Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.77 | 0.20 | 8.53 | (5.24) | 17.99 | |
| UBL-CMAR | United Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.26 | 9.12 | (2.09) | 11.21 | |
| MEBL | Meezan Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0 | 3.25 | (2.20) | 9.44 | |
| ABL | Allied Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.04) | 2.46 | (1.84) | 5.55 | |
| OGDC | Oil and Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | 0.17 | 2.69 | (1.36) | 7.54 | |
| RICL | Reliance Insurance Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.32 | 0.03 | 4.64 | (4.13) | 13.77 | |
| FFL-CJAN | Fauji Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.18 | 6.60 | (2.17) | 11.71 |
First National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pair Trading with First National
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if First National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to First National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace First National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back First National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling First National Equities to buy it.
The correlation of First National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as First National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if First National Equities moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for First National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First National's price analysis, check to measure First National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First National is operating at the current time. Most of First National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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