Fidelity National Financial Stock Price Prediction

FNF Stock  USD 63.83  1.89  3.05%   
As of 25th of November 2024, the relative strength indicator of Fidelity National's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fidelity National, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fidelity National's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fidelity National and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fidelity National's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fidelity National Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fidelity National's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.18
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.5353
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.9918
Wall Street Target Price
67.2
Using Fidelity National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fidelity National Financial from the perspective of Fidelity National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Fidelity National Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fidelity National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fidelity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fidelity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fidelity National Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fidelity National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fidelity National.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fidelity National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fidelity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fidelity National after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 62.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Fidelity National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.1954.3368.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.9162.0563.18
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.2347.5052.73
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.121.131.16
Details

Fidelity National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fidelity National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fidelity National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fidelity National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fidelity National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fidelity National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fidelity National's historical news coverage. Fidelity National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.86 and 63.14, respectively. We have considered Fidelity National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
63.83
62.00
After-hype Price
63.14
Upside
Fidelity National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fidelity National is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fidelity National Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fidelity National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fidelity National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fidelity National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.20
  0.08 
  0.02 
9 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
63.83
62.00
0.10 
240.00  
Notes

Fidelity National Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Fidelity National is traded for 63.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Fidelity is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 62.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Fidelity National is about 897.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.85. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.79 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 517 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.1 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Fidelity National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fidelity National Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fidelity National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fidelity National's future price movements. Getting to know how Fidelity National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fidelity National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings(1.32)11 per month 1.10  0.09  2.25 (1.52) 7.42 
AGOAssured Guaranty 1.62 8 per month 1.14  0.1  2.89 (2.50) 9.67 
ACTEnact Holdings 0.36 11 per month 1.39 (0.09) 1.57 (1.93) 6.63 
NMIHNMI Holdings 0.28 3 per month 1.73 (0.07) 2.37 (2.55) 9.75 
RDNRadian Group(0.18)7 per month 2.25 (0.06) 2.47 (2.24) 11.88 
ESNTEssent Group 0.49 5 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.88 (2.14) 13.14 
JRVRJames River Group 0.12 9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.47 (5.22) 31.93 
MTGMGIC Investment Corp 0.28 8 per month 1.66 (0.02) 2.12 (2.36) 8.56 
EIGEmployers Holdings(0.06)5 per month 1.02  0.06  2.46 (1.95) 11.24 
MBIMBIA Inc(0.07)6 per month 2.40  0.22  7.12 (4.02) 22.10 
ICCHICC Holdings(0.05)7 per month 0.34 (0.23) 0.74 (0.56) 3.36 

Fidelity National Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fidelity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fidelity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fidelity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fidelity National Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fidelity National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fidelity National Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fidelity National based on analysis of Fidelity National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fidelity National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fidelity National's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03120.04730.03630.0345
Price To Sales Ratio0.910.91.170.68

Story Coverage note for Fidelity National

The number of cover stories for Fidelity National depends on current market conditions and Fidelity National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fidelity National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fidelity National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fidelity National Short Properties

Fidelity National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fidelity National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fidelity National Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fidelity National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fidelity National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding271 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

Complementary Tools for Fidelity Stock analysis

When running Fidelity National's price analysis, check to measure Fidelity National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fidelity National is operating at the current time. Most of Fidelity National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fidelity National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fidelity National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fidelity National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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