Gds Holdings Stock Price Prediction

GDS Stock  USD 18.40  0.17  0.92%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of GDS Holdings' the stock price is slightly above 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling GDS, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GDS Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GDS Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GDS Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GDS Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GDS Holdings' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.22)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(3.31)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(4.41)
Wall Street Target Price
181.4901
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.26)
Using GDS Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GDS Holdings from the perspective of GDS Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GDS Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GDS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GDS Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out GDS Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy GDS Stock please use our How to Invest in GDS Holdings guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GDS Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7118.6823.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3117.2822.25
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3217.9319.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.04-0.83-0.62
Details

GDS Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GDS Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GDS Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GDS Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GDS Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GDS Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GDS Holdings' historical news coverage. GDS Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.08 and 24.02, respectively. We have considered GDS Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.40
19.05
After-hype Price
24.02
Upside
GDS Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GDS Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

GDS Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GDS Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GDS Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GDS Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
5.00
  0.61 
  0.09 
11 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.40
19.05
3.53 
206.61  
Notes

GDS Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November GDS Holdings is traded for 18.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.61, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. GDS is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 3.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on GDS Holdings is about 1392.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.49. GDS Holdings has 47.99 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.69, which is OK given its current industry classification. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out GDS Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy GDS Stock please use our How to Invest in GDS Holdings guide.

GDS Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GDS Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GDS Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how GDS Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GDS Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CDChindata Group Holdings 0.08 1 per month 2.40  0.06  5.00 (3.69) 16.11 
TWKSThoughtworks Holding 0.00 10 per month 0.24 (0.11) 0.68 (0.46) 2.49 
EXLSExlService Holdings 0.39 13 per month 0.45  0.18  2.48 (1.41) 8.35 
ITGartner 3.15 9 per month 1.07  0.01  1.37 (2.06) 7.23 
VNETVNET Group DRC 0.21 7 per month 4.97  0.20  10.00 (8.56) 34.50 
CLVTCLARIVATE PLC 0.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.12 (3.78) 31.28 
CACICACI International(0.84)10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.31 (4.18) 14.84 
ASGNASGN Inc 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.32 (3.35) 13.02 
GGenpact Limited 0.20 9 per month 0.82  0.08  2.05 (1.63) 11.64 
TTECTTEC Holdings 0.21 9 per month 3.21  0.03  6.44 (4.94) 56.54 
WNSWNS Holdings 0.31 7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.95 (3.12) 13.48 
TASKTaskus Inc 0.52 9 per month 4.11  0.01  4.93 (4.81) 40.44 

GDS Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GDS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GDS using various technical indicators. When you analyze GDS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GDS Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GDS Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GDS Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GDS Holdings based on analysis of GDS Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GDS Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GDS Holdings's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield9.05E-40.0019810.0045960.007873
Price To Sales Ratio6.962.791.181.12

Story Coverage note for GDS Holdings

The number of cover stories for GDS Holdings depends on current market conditions and GDS Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GDS Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GDS Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

GDS Holdings Short Properties

GDS Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when GDS Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GDS Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GDS Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GDS Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding183.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.7 B

Additional Tools for GDS Stock Analysis

When running GDS Holdings' price analysis, check to measure GDS Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GDS Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of GDS Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GDS Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GDS Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GDS Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.