Greif Inc Stock Price Patterns

GEFB Stock  USD 88.88  1.07  1.22%   
The value of relative strength index of Greif's stock price is about 64. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Greif, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Greif's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Greif Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Greif hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greif Inc from the perspective of Greif response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greif to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greif because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Greif after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 88.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Greif Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.9998.86100.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.6389.2890.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.0787.84104.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Greif. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Greif's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Greif's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Greif Inc.

Greif After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Greif at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greif or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greif, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Greif Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Greif's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greif's historical news coverage. Greif's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.75 and 90.05, respectively. We have considered Greif's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
88.88
88.40
After-hype Price
90.05
Upside
Greif is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greif Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Greif Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greif is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greif backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greif, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
1.65
  0.48 
  0.16 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
88.88
88.40
0.54 
170.10  
Notes

Greif Hype Timeline

Greif Inc is currently traded for 88.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Greif is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 88.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 170.1%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Greif is about 519.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.04. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.8. Greif Inc last dividend was issued on the 1st of October 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Greif Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Greif Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Greif's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greif's future price movements. Getting to know how Greif's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greif may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NSCNorfolk Southern 1.84 10 per month 0.89  0.08  2.36 (1.56) 5.69 
CPCanadian Pacific Railway 2.65 8 per month 1.03  0.14  2.54 (1.98) 7.63 
FDXFedEx(2.66)7 per month 0.08  0.36  3.34 (1.25) 6.66 
CMICummins 11.03 7 per month 2.20  0.15  2.87 (2.27) 15.60 
URIUnited Rentals(8.55)9 per month 2.53  0.03  4.42 (3.19) 17.82 
PCARPACCAR Inc(0.27)10 per month 0.63  0.25  3.25 (1.50) 9.11 
RSGRepublic Services(4.39)10 per month 0.97 (0) 1.88 (1.75) 4.33 
LHXL3Harris Technologies 0.94 8 per month 1.17  0.15  3.09 (2.27) 8.86 
WABWestinghouse Air Brake 2.27 8 per month 0.66  0.25  2.69 (1.54) 4.99 

Greif Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Greif price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greif using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greif charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Greif Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Greif stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greif Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greif based on analysis of Greif hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greif's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greif's related companies.
 2017 2018 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover7.648.359.618.79
Days Of Inventory On Hand8.9410.8912.5311.9

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When running Greif's price analysis, check to measure Greif's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif is operating at the current time. Most of Greif's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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