Gerdau SA (Brazil) Price Prediction
| GGBR4 Preferred Stock | BRL 19.79 0.08 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gerdau SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gerdau SA from the perspective of Gerdau SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gerdau SA to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gerdau because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gerdau SA after-hype prediction price | BRL 19.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gerdau |
Gerdau SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gerdau SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gerdau SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Gerdau SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gerdau SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gerdau SA's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gerdau SA's historical news coverage. Gerdau SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.83 and 21.75, respectively. We have considered Gerdau SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gerdau SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gerdau SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gerdau SA Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gerdau SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gerdau SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gerdau SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.79 | 19.79 | 0.00 |
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Gerdau SA Hype Timeline
Gerdau SA is currently traded for 19.79on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gerdau is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gerdau SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.79. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gerdau SA recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2022. The firm had 5:6 split on the 17th of April 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Gerdau SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gerdau SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gerdau SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gerdau SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Gerdau SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gerdau SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USIM5 | Usinas Siderrgicas de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.40 | (4.39) | 13.69 | |
| CSNA3 | Companhia Siderrgica Nacional | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.34 | (3.98) | 14.08 | |
| BBDC4 | Banco Bradesco SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.58 | (1.97) | 7.87 | |
| VALE3 | Vale SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | (0.07) | 3.40 | (3.03) | 10.62 | |
| PETR4 | Petrleo Brasileiro SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.04) | 2.50 | (2.01) | 9.67 |
Gerdau SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gerdau price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gerdau using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gerdau charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gerdau SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gerdau SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gerdau SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gerdau SA based on analysis of Gerdau SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gerdau SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gerdau SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Gerdau SA
The number of cover stories for Gerdau SA depends on current market conditions and Gerdau SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gerdau SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gerdau SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gerdau SA Short Properties
Gerdau SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gerdau SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gerdau SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gerdau SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gerdau SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 B |
Additional Tools for Gerdau Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Gerdau SA's price analysis, check to measure Gerdau SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gerdau SA is operating at the current time. Most of Gerdau SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gerdau SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gerdau SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gerdau SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.