Graco Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| GGG Stock | USD 94.67 0.39 0.41% |
As of the 17th of February 2026, Graco retains the market risk adjusted performance of 0.2604, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1585. Graco technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Graco Inc jensen alpha, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk to decide if Graco is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 94.67 per share. Given that Graco Inc has jensen alpha of 0.1708, we strongly advise you to confirm Graco Inc's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Graco Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Graco, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to GracoGraco's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Graco Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 95.33 | Buy | 12 | Odds |
Most Graco analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Graco stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Graco Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Graco conference calls.
Can Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components industry sustain growth momentum? Does Graco have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graco. Market participants price Graco higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Graco demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.254 | Dividend Share 1.12 | Earnings Share 3.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 |
Investors evaluate Graco Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Graco's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Graco's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Graco's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Graco 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Graco's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Graco.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Graco on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Graco Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Graco over 90 days. Graco is related to or competes with Franklin Electric, Ametek, Flowserve, Donaldson, IDEX, ITT, and Ingersoll Rand. Graco Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets systems and equipment used to move, measure, control, dispense, and spray ... More
Graco Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Graco's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Graco Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1349 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.51 |
Graco Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Graco's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Graco's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Graco historical prices to predict the future Graco's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1585 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1708 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1339 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1314 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2504 |
Graco February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1585 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2604 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8822 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 520.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1349 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1708 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1339 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1314 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2504 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.95) | |||
| Skewness | (0.1) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.13 |
Graco Inc Backtested Returns
Graco appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Graco Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.25, which attests that the entity had a 0.25 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Graco Inc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Graco's risk adjusted performance of 0.1585, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2604 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Graco holds a performance score of 19. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.9, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Graco returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Graco is expected to follow. Please check Graco's sortino ratio, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Graco's current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.44 |
Average predictability
Graco Inc has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Graco time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Graco Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Graco price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.44 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 12.97 |
Graco technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Graco Inc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Graco Inc volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Graco Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Graco Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Graco Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Graco Inc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Graco Inc. By analyzing Graco's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Graco's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Graco specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009294 | 0.0125 | 0.0108 | 0.0103 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.88 | 5.3 | 6.66 | 6.99 |
Graco February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Graco help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Graco from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Graco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1585 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2604 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8822 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 520.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1349 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1708 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1339 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1314 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2504 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.95) | |||
| Skewness | (0.1) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.13 |
Graco February 17, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Graco stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.22 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 94.46 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 94.53 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.41 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.76 |
Complementary Tools for Graco Stock analysis
When running Graco's price analysis, check to measure Graco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Graco is operating at the current time. Most of Graco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Graco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Graco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Graco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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