Gci Liberty Stock Price Prediction

GLIBA Stock  USD 35.86  1.01  2.74%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of GCI Liberty's stock price is about 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling GCI, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GCI Liberty's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GCI Liberty , which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting GCI Liberty's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Using GCI Liberty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GCI Liberty from the perspective of GCI Liberty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

GCI Liberty Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to GCI Liberty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GCI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GCI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GCI Liberty . Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of GCI Liberty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about GCI Liberty.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GCI Liberty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GCI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GCI Liberty after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out GCI Liberty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade GCI Stock refer to our How to Trade GCI Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.2334.5736.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.4335.7738.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.2436.2037.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GCI Liberty. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GCI Liberty's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GCI Liberty's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GCI Liberty.

GCI Liberty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GCI Liberty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GCI Liberty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GCI Liberty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GCI Liberty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GCI Liberty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GCI Liberty's historical news coverage. GCI Liberty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.54 and 38.22, respectively. We have considered GCI Liberty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.86
35.88
After-hype Price
38.22
Upside
GCI Liberty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GCI Liberty is based on 3 months time horizon.

GCI Liberty Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GCI Liberty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GCI Liberty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GCI Liberty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
2.34
  0.02 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.86
35.88
0.06 
260.00  
Notes

GCI Liberty Hype Timeline

GCI Liberty is currently traded for 35.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. GCI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on GCI Liberty is about 20475.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.86. The company reported the revenue of 940 M. Net Income was 70 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 393 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out GCI Liberty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade GCI Stock refer to our How to Trade GCI Stock guide.

GCI Liberty Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GCI Liberty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GCI Liberty's future price movements. Getting to know how GCI Liberty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GCI Liberty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

GCI Liberty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GCI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GCI using various technical indicators. When you analyze GCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GCI Liberty Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GCI Liberty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GCI Liberty , already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GCI Liberty based on analysis of GCI Liberty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GCI Liberty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GCI Liberty's related companies.

Story Coverage note for GCI Liberty

The number of cover stories for GCI Liberty depends on current market conditions and GCI Liberty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GCI Liberty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GCI Liberty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

GCI Liberty Short Properties

GCI Liberty's future price predictability will typically decrease when GCI Liberty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GCI Liberty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GCI Liberty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GCI Liberty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments74 M

Complementary Tools for GCI Stock analysis

When running GCI Liberty's price analysis, check to measure GCI Liberty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GCI Liberty is operating at the current time. Most of GCI Liberty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GCI Liberty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GCI Liberty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GCI Liberty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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