Telefonica Brasil Sa Stock Price Prediction
| VIV Stock | USD 8.71 0.28 3.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.145 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.5278 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3266 | Wall Street Target Price 64.1983 |
Using Telefonica Brasil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telefonica Brasil SA from the perspective of Telefonica Brasil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Telefonica Brasil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Telefonica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Telefonica Brasil after-hype prediction price | USD 8.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Telefonica |
Telefonica Brasil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Telefonica Brasil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telefonica Brasil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Telefonica Brasil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Telefonica Brasil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Telefonica Brasil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telefonica Brasil's historical news coverage. Telefonica Brasil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.18 and 10.20, respectively. We have considered Telefonica Brasil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Telefonica Brasil is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telefonica Brasil is based on 3 months time horizon.
Telefonica Brasil Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telefonica Brasil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telefonica Brasil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telefonica Brasil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.51 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.71 | 8.69 | 0.23 |
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Telefonica Brasil Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November Telefonica Brasil is traded for 8.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Telefonica is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Telefonica Brasil is about 2102.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.72. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Telefonica Brasil has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of August 2024. The firm had 1:4 split on the October 17, 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Telefonica Brasil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Telefonica Brasil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Telefonica Brasil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telefonica Brasil's future price movements. Getting to know how Telefonica Brasil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telefonica Brasil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORAN | Orange SA ADR | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.40 | (1.92) | 5.67 | |
| VOD | Vodafone Group PLC | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.03 | (2.11) | 11.30 | |
| TV | Grupo Televisa SAB | (0.18) | 6 per month | 4.15 | (0.01) | 5.38 | (6.56) | 20.33 | |
| AMX | America Movil SAB | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.58 | (2.88) | 7.18 | |
| TEF | Telefonica SA ADR | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.12 | (1.45) | 6.16 | |
| SKM | SK Telecom Co | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.11 | (1.71) | 5.94 | |
| KT | KT Corporation | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.64 | 0.05 | 3.58 | (2.09) | 11.99 | |
| PHI | PLDT Inc ADR | 0.27 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.83 | (2.63) | 6.09 | |
| TIMB | TIM Participacoes SA | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.43 | (2.76) | 8.48 | |
| LBRDA | Liberty Broadband Srs | 0.54 | 9 per month | 1.52 | 0.13 | 4.70 | (3.19) | 33.07 | |
| LBRDK | Liberty Broadband Srs | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 4.96 | (3.20) | 30.97 |
Telefonica Brasil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Telefonica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telefonica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telefonica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Telefonica Brasil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Telefonica Brasil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Telefonica Brasil SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telefonica Brasil based on analysis of Telefonica Brasil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Telefonica Brasil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Telefonica Brasil's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0604 | 0.0904 | 0.0435 | 0.0832 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.84 | 1.31 | 1.69 | 1.94 |
Story Coverage note for Telefonica Brasil
The number of cover stories for Telefonica Brasil depends on current market conditions and Telefonica Brasil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Telefonica Brasil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Telefonica Brasil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Telefonica Brasil Short Properties
Telefonica Brasil's future price predictability will typically decrease when Telefonica Brasil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Telefonica Brasil SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Telefonica Brasil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telefonica Brasil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 B |
Additional Tools for Telefonica Stock Analysis
When running Telefonica Brasil's price analysis, check to measure Telefonica Brasil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telefonica Brasil is operating at the current time. Most of Telefonica Brasil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telefonica Brasil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telefonica Brasil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telefonica Brasil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.