Genmab As Stock Price Patterns

GMAB Stock  USD 31.32  0.58  1.82%   
At the present time, The RSI of Genmab AS's share price is at 52. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Genmab AS, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Genmab AS's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Genmab AS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Genmab AS's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.076
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4033
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9118
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.4878
Wall Street Target Price
38.0714
Using Genmab AS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genmab AS from the perspective of Genmab AS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Genmab AS using Genmab AS's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Genmab using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Genmab AS's stock price.

Genmab AS Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Genmab AS's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Genmab. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Genmab AS stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
26.6024
Short Percent
0.0163
Short Ratio
6.11
Shares Short Prior Month
11.1 M
50 Day MA
32.4014

Genmab AS Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Genmab AS's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genmab. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genmab can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genmab AS. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genmab AS's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genmab AS.

Genmab AS Implied Volatility

    
  0.68  
Genmab AS's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Genmab AS stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Genmab AS's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Genmab AS stock will not fluctuate a lot when Genmab AS's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Genmab AS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Genmab because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Genmab AS after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Genmab contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Genmab AS will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Genmab AS trading at USD 31.32, that is roughly USD 0.0133 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Genmab AS's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Genmab AS options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Genmab AS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Genmab Stock refer to our How to Trade Genmab Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7134.9637.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.3731.6633.94
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.6438.0742.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.460.420.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Genmab AS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Genmab AS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Genmab AS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Genmab AS.

Genmab AS After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Genmab AS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genmab AS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genmab AS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Genmab AS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Genmab AS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genmab AS's historical news coverage. Genmab AS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.24 and 33.80, respectively. We have considered Genmab AS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.32
31.52
After-hype Price
33.80
Upside
Genmab AS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genmab AS is based on 3 months time horizon.

Genmab AS Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genmab AS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genmab AS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genmab AS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.28
  0.38 
  0.03 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.32
31.52
1.19 
121.28  
Notes

Genmab AS Hype Timeline

Genmab AS is currently traded for 31.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.38, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Genmab is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 121.28%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Genmab AS is about 1433.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.35. The book value of the company was currently reported as 93.41. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.64. Genmab AS had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 5:1 split on the 1st of May 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Genmab AS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Genmab Stock refer to our How to Trade Genmab Stock guide.

Genmab AS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Genmab AS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genmab AS's future price movements. Getting to know how Genmab AS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genmab AS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
INCYIncyte 2.17 13 per month 1.75  0.05  4.10 (2.92) 14.33 
UTHRUnited Therapeutics 3.88 9 per month 1.14  0.03  2.00 (1.80) 5.21 
RPRXRoyalty Pharma Plc(0.17)7 per month 1.30  0.13  2.03 (2.05) 12.26 
THCTenet Healthcare(3.64)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.14 (2.47) 14.80 
ILMNIllumina 3.64 10 per month 1.61  0.12  4.09 (2.87) 28.81 
DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated(4.37)11 per month 1.01  0.05  2.68 (1.85) 6.29 
ROIVRoivant Sciences 0.14 10 per month 1.58  0.05  3.56 (2.84) 9.44 
SMMTSummit Therapeutics PLC(0.65)8 per month 0.00 (0.10) 5.41 (5.97) 23.61 
ZBHZimmer Biomet Holdings(0.50)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.92 (2.20) 18.45 
EXELExelixis 1.09 11 per month 1.69  0.04  4.06 (2.93) 11.45 

Genmab AS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Genmab price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genmab using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genmab charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Genmab AS Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Genmab AS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Genmab AS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Genmab AS based on analysis of Genmab AS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Genmab AS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Genmab AS's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding109.61113.45130.47231.29
PTB Ratio4.452.632.372.25

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