Genmab As Stock Price Patterns
| GMAB Stock | USD 31.32 0.58 1.82% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.076 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4033 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9118 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4878 | Wall Street Target Price 38.0714 |
Using Genmab AS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genmab AS from the perspective of Genmab AS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Genmab AS using Genmab AS's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Genmab using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Genmab AS's stock price.
Genmab AS Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Genmab AS's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Genmab. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Genmab AS stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.6024 | Short Percent 0.0163 | Short Ratio 6.11 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.1 M | 50 Day MA 32.4014 |
Genmab AS Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Genmab AS's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genmab. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genmab can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genmab AS. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genmab AS's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genmab AS.
Genmab AS Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Genmab AS's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Genmab AS stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Genmab AS's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Genmab AS stock will not fluctuate a lot when Genmab AS's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Genmab AS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Genmab because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Genmab AS after-hype prediction price | USD 31.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Genmab contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Genmab AS will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Genmab AS trading at USD 31.32, that is roughly USD 0.0133 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Genmab AS's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Genmab AS options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Genmab AS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Genmab AS After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Genmab AS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genmab AS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genmab AS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Genmab AS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Genmab AS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genmab AS's historical news coverage. Genmab AS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.24 and 33.80, respectively. We have considered Genmab AS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Genmab AS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genmab AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Genmab AS Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genmab AS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genmab AS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genmab AS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.28 | 0.38 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.32 | 31.52 | 1.19 |
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Genmab AS Hype Timeline
Genmab AS is currently traded for 31.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.38, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Genmab is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 121.28%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Genmab AS is about 1433.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.35. The book value of the company was currently reported as 93.41. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.64. Genmab AS had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 5:1 split on the 1st of May 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Genmab AS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Genmab AS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Genmab AS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genmab AS's future price movements. Getting to know how Genmab AS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genmab AS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INCY | Incyte | 2.17 | 13 per month | 1.75 | 0.05 | 4.10 | (2.92) | 14.33 | |
| UTHR | United Therapeutics | 3.88 | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.03 | 2.00 | (1.80) | 5.21 | |
| RPRX | Royalty Pharma Plc | (0.17) | 7 per month | 1.30 | 0.13 | 2.03 | (2.05) | 12.26 | |
| THC | Tenet Healthcare | (3.64) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.14 | (2.47) | 14.80 | |
| ILMN | Illumina | 3.64 | 10 per month | 1.61 | 0.12 | 4.09 | (2.87) | 28.81 | |
| DGX | Quest Diagnostics Incorporated | (4.37) | 11 per month | 1.01 | 0.05 | 2.68 | (1.85) | 6.29 | |
| ROIV | Roivant Sciences | 0.14 | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.05 | 3.56 | (2.84) | 9.44 | |
| SMMT | Summit Therapeutics PLC | (0.65) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.41 | (5.97) | 23.61 | |
| ZBH | Zimmer Biomet Holdings | (0.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.92 | (2.20) | 18.45 | |
| EXEL | Exelixis | 1.09 | 11 per month | 1.69 | 0.04 | 4.06 | (2.93) | 11.45 |
Genmab AS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Genmab price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genmab using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genmab charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Genmab AS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Genmab AS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Genmab AS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Genmab AS based on analysis of Genmab AS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Genmab AS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Genmab AS's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 109.61 | 113.45 | 130.47 | 231.29 | PTB Ratio | 4.45 | 2.63 | 2.37 | 2.25 |
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When running Genmab AS's price analysis, check to measure Genmab AS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genmab AS is operating at the current time. Most of Genmab AS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genmab AS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genmab AS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genmab AS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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