Gold Resource Stock Price Patterns
| GORO Stock | USD 1.56 0.07 4.29% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.742 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.20) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.04 | Wall Street Target Price 1.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.874 |
Using Gold Resource hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gold Resource from the perspective of Gold Resource response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gold Resource using Gold Resource's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gold using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gold Resource's stock price.
Gold Resource Short Interest
An investor who is long Gold Resource may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gold Resource and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gold Resource with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 0.5887 | Short Percent 0.008 | Short Ratio 0.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 0.8016 |
Gold Resource Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gold Resource's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gold Resource. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gold Resource's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gold Resource.
Gold Resource Implied Volatility | 1.77 |
Gold Resource's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gold Resource stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gold Resource's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gold Resource stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gold Resource's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gold Resource to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gold Resource after-hype prediction price | USD 1.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gold contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gold Resource will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Gold Resource trading at USD 1.56, that is roughly USD 0.001726 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gold Resource's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gold Resource options at the current volatility level of 1.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Gold Resource Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Gold Resource After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gold Resource at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gold Resource or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gold Resource, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gold Resource Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gold Resource's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gold Resource's historical news coverage. Gold Resource's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 9.04, respectively. We have considered Gold Resource's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gold Resource is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gold Resource is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gold Resource Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gold Resource is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gold Resource backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gold Resource, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.57 | 7.56 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.56 | 1.48 | 5.13 |
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Gold Resource Hype Timeline
Gold Resource is currently traded for 1.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Gold is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -5.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.57%. The volatility of related hype on Gold Resource is about 31500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.52. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.3. Gold Resource last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Gold Resource Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gold Resource Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gold Resource's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gold Resource's future price movements. Getting to know how Gold Resource's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gold Resource may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NAMM | Namib Minerals Ordinary | (0.07) | 9 per month | 7.66 | 0.11 | 31.29 | (11.92) | 165.48 | |
| GRO | Brazil Potash Corp | 0.03 | 8 per month | 4.35 | 0.01 | 6.53 | (7.21) | 22.72 | |
| ATLX | Atlas Lithium | (0.05) | 8 per month | 5.51 | 0.01 | 6.80 | (9.47) | 27.79 | |
| PZG | Paramount Gold Nevada | 0.04 | 7 per month | 2.78 | 0.19 | 12.12 | (4.90) | 19.02 | |
| NEXM | NexMetals Mining Corp | (0.08) | 7 per month | 3.88 | (0.01) | 8.60 | (6.60) | 21.46 | |
| FEAM | 5E Advanced Materials | (0.10) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 8.39 | (9.72) | 42.14 | |
| FURY | Fury Gold Mines | (0.01) | 9 per month | 4.40 | 0.08 | 9.72 | (6.49) | 35.30 | |
| ORGN | Origin Materials | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 6.82 | (8.70) | 22.98 | |
| ALTO | Alto Ingredients | (0.01) | 8 per month | 3.29 | 0.28 | 13.41 | (6.27) | 32.45 | |
| LGO | Largo Resources | 0.02 | 5 per month | 4.13 | 0.05 | 9.17 | (6.54) | 20.11 |
Gold Resource Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gold Resource Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gold Resource stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gold Resource, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gold Resource based on analysis of Gold Resource hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gold Resource's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gold Resource's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0301 | 0.0318 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.38 | 0.36 |
Pair Trading with Gold Resource
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Gold Resource position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gold Resource will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Gold Stock
| 0.81 | B | Barrick Mining Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | AA | Alcoa Corp Downward Rally | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | AP | Ampco Pittsburgh | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | HL | Hecla Mining | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | MT | ArcelorMittal SA ADR Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
Moving against Gold Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Gold Resource could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Gold Resource when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Gold Resource - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Gold Resource to buy it.
The correlation of Gold Resource is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Gold Resource moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Gold Resource moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Gold Resource can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Gold Resource Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Gold Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gold Resource guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Gold diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gold Resource. Market participants price Gold higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Gold Resource data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.742 | Earnings Share (0.30) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.874 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Gold Resource requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Gold's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Gold Resource's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Gold Resource's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gold Resource's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gold Resource is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Gold Resource's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.