Aman Agrindo (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| GULA Stock | 348.00 4.00 1.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aman Agrindo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aman Agrindo from the perspective of Aman Agrindo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aman Agrindo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aman Agrindo after-hype prediction price | IDR 348.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aman |
Aman Agrindo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aman Agrindo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aman Agrindo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aman Agrindo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aman Agrindo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aman Agrindo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aman Agrindo's historical news coverage. Aman Agrindo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 343.01 and 352.99, respectively. We have considered Aman Agrindo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aman Agrindo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aman Agrindo is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aman Agrindo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aman Agrindo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aman Agrindo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aman Agrindo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.50 | 4.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
348.00 | 348.00 | 0.00 |
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Aman Agrindo Hype Timeline
Aman Agrindo is currently traded for 348.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aman is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.5%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aman Agrindo is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 348.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Aman Agrindo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aman Agrindo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aman Agrindo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aman Agrindo's future price movements. Getting to know how Aman Agrindo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aman Agrindo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DSNG | Dharma Satya Nusantara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.02 | 0.11 | 6.17 | (5.29) | 32.59 | |
| SRTG | Saratoga Investama Sedaya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.44 | 0.06 | 6.10 | (5.18) | 32.66 | |
| ESSA | Surya Esa Perkasa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | 0.01 | 5.23 | (4.55) | 14.92 | |
| EMTK | Elang Mahkota Teknologi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.07 | 4.94 | (3.90) | 21.15 | |
| SSMS | Sawit Sumbermas Sarana | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.63 | (3.10) | 13.15 |
Aman Agrindo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Aman Agrindo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aman Agrindo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aman Agrindo, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aman Agrindo based on analysis of Aman Agrindo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aman Agrindo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aman Agrindo's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aman Agrindo
The number of cover stories for Aman Agrindo depends on current market conditions and Aman Agrindo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aman Agrindo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aman Agrindo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Aman Stock
Aman Agrindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aman Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aman with respect to the benefits of owning Aman Agrindo security.