Healthcare Services Group Stock Price Prediction
| HCSG Stock | USD 11.68 0.16 1.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.322 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7627 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8435 | Wall Street Target Price 13.75 |
Using Healthcare Services hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Healthcare Services Group from the perspective of Healthcare Services response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Healthcare Services to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Healthcare because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Healthcare Services after-hype prediction price | USD 11.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Healthcare |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Healthcare Services After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Healthcare Services at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Healthcare Services or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Healthcare Services, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Healthcare Services Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Healthcare Services' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Healthcare Services' historical news coverage. Healthcare Services' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.36 and 13.62, respectively. We have considered Healthcare Services' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Healthcare Services is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Healthcare Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Healthcare Services Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Healthcare Services is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Healthcare Services backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Healthcare Services, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.13 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.68 | 11.49 | 0.26 |
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Healthcare Services Hype Timeline
Healthcare Services is currently traded for 11.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Healthcare is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Healthcare Services is about 297.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.62. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Healthcare Services has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2022. The firm had 3:2 split on the 15th of November 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Healthcare Services Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Healthcare Services Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Healthcare Services' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Healthcare Services' future price movements. Getting to know how Healthcare Services' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Healthcare Services may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNTG | Pennant Group | (0.46) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.19 | (3.97) | 13.06 | |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners | 0.71 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.73 | (4.88) | 31.36 | |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | (13.99) | 8 per month | 1.65 | (0.05) | 2.32 | (2.11) | 10.08 | |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corp | (1.18) | 10 per month | 0.88 | 0.05 | 1.76 | (1.86) | 9.75 | |
| EHAB | Enhabit | 0.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.22 | (4.56) | 11.79 | |
| INNV | InnovAge Holding Corp | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.23 | (4.81) | 11.60 | |
| NHC | National HealthCare | 2.32 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.12 | (3.57) | 11.56 | |
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | (1.12) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 3.36 | (5.78) | 22.87 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | 0.83 | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.06 | 3.02 | (2.50) | 14.58 | |
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | 3.64 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.13 | (2.48) | 7.74 | |
| MODV | ModivCare | 1.19 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 7.43 | (8.25) | 65.08 |
Healthcare Services Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Healthcare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Healthcare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Healthcare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Healthcare Services Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Healthcare Services stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Healthcare Services Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Healthcare Services based on analysis of Healthcare Services hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Healthcare Services's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Healthcare Services's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0468 | 0.071 | 0.0639 | 0.0671 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.81 | 0.53 | 0.46 | 0.9 |
Story Coverage note for Healthcare Services
The number of cover stories for Healthcare Services depends on current market conditions and Healthcare Services' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Healthcare Services is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Healthcare Services' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Healthcare Services Short Properties
Healthcare Services' future price predictability will typically decrease when Healthcare Services' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Healthcare Services Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Healthcare Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 147.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Healthcare Stock analysis
When running Healthcare Services' price analysis, check to measure Healthcare Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Healthcare Services is operating at the current time. Most of Healthcare Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Healthcare Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Healthcare Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Healthcare Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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