Hive Digital Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| HIVE Stock | USD 3.22 0.15 4.89% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (1.00) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.035 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.06) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.09) | Wall Street Target Price 8.4375 |
Using HIVE Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HIVE Digital Technologies from the perspective of HIVE Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HIVE Digital using HIVE Digital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HIVE using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HIVE Digital's stock price.
HIVE Digital Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in HIVE Digital's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards HIVE. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of HIVE Digital stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 2.9452 | Short Percent 0.0086 | Short Ratio 1.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 19 M | 50 Day MA 3.2064 |
HIVE Digital Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to HIVE Digital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in HIVE. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HIVE can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HIVE Digital Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HIVE Digital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HIVE Digital.
HIVE Digital Implied Volatility | 1.61 |
HIVE Digital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HIVE Digital Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HIVE Digital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HIVE Digital stock will not fluctuate a lot when HIVE Digital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HIVE Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HIVE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HIVE Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 3.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HIVE contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HIVE Digital Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With HIVE Digital trading at USD 3.22, that is roughly USD 0.00324 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HIVE Digital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring HIVE Digital Technologies options at the current volatility level of 1.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out HIVE Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HIVE Digital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HIVE Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HIVE Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HIVE Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HIVE Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HIVE Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HIVE Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HIVE Digital's historical news coverage. HIVE Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 8.36, respectively. We have considered HIVE Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HIVE Digital is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HIVE Digital Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
HIVE Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HIVE Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HIVE Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HIVE Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.86 | 5.13 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.22 | 3.22 | 0.00 |
|
HIVE Digital Hype Timeline
HIVE Digital Technologies is currently traded for 3.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.28. HIVE is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.86%. %. The volatility of related hype on HIVE Digital is about 1549.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.94. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. HIVE Digital Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 24th of May 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out HIVE Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HIVE Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HIVE Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HIVE Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how HIVE Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HIVE Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFC | Bank First National | (3.64) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.05 | 3.40 | (2.64) | 8.68 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.1 | 3.61 | (1.83) | 6.62 | |
| OCSL | Oaktree Specialty Lending | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.05 | (0.06) | 2.11 | (1.95) | 7.02 | |
| BY | Byline Bancorp | (0.13) | 10 per month | 1.04 | 0.1 | 2.82 | (1.88) | 9.25 | |
| LU | Lufax Holding | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.49 | (4.31) | 16.24 | |
| PRA | ProAssurance | (0.13) | 16 per month | 0.21 | (0.32) | 0.38 | (0.41) | 1.04 | |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | 1.02 | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.06 | 2.97 | (1.77) | 6.95 | |
| QCRH | QCR Holdings | (0.13) | 12 per month | 1.06 | 0.16 | 3.55 | (1.74) | 7.77 | |
| FSCO | FS Credit Opportunities | 0.04 | 20 per month | 1.40 | (0.05) | 2.68 | (2.62) | 5.72 |
HIVE Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HIVE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HIVE using various technical indicators. When you analyze HIVE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HIVE Digital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HIVE Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HIVE Digital Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HIVE Digital based on analysis of HIVE Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HIVE Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HIVE Digital's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 7.74 | 6.96 | 4.66 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 733.58 | 660.22 | 413.56 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for HIVE Stock analysis
When running HIVE Digital's price analysis, check to measure HIVE Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HIVE Digital is operating at the current time. Most of HIVE Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HIVE Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HIVE Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HIVE Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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