Qcr Holdings Stock Price Prediction

QCRH Stock  USD 77.76  0.37  0.47%   
As of 1st of February 2025, the relative strength index (RSI) of QCR Holdings' share price is approaching 46 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling QCR Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of QCR Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with QCR Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting QCR Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.101
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.57
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.772
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.356
Wall Street Target Price
98
Using QCR Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of QCR Holdings from the perspective of QCR Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards QCR Holdings using QCR Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards QCR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of QCR Holdings' stock price.

QCR Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.4  
QCR Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of QCR Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if QCR Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that QCR Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when QCR Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in QCR Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying QCR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

QCR Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 77.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current QCR contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that QCR Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With QCR Holdings trading at USD 77.76, that is roughly USD 0.0194 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating QCR Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring QCR Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out QCR Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in QCR Stock please use our How to Invest in QCR Holdings guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.1478.3680.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.9277.1579.37
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
89.5498.40109.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.441.501.56
Details

QCR Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of QCR Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in QCR Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of QCR Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

QCR Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting QCR Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on QCR Holdings' historical news coverage. QCR Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.53 and 79.97, respectively. We have considered QCR Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
77.76
77.75
After-hype Price
79.97
Upside
QCR Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of QCR Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

QCR Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as QCR Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading QCR Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with QCR Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
2.22
  0.01 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
77.76
77.75
0.01 
155.24  
Notes

QCR Holdings Hype Timeline

QCR Holdings is at this time traded for 77.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. QCR is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 77.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 155.24%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on QCR Holdings is about 2625.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.76. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. QCR Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.77. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.71. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. QCR Holdings had 3:2 split on the 1st of June 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out QCR Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in QCR Stock please use our How to Invest in QCR Holdings guide.

QCR Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to QCR Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict QCR Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how QCR Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how QCR Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.09)9 per month 1.27 (0.01) 2.53 (1.95) 11.26 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.12  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.19 4 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.58 (1.74) 4.32 
CFBKCF Bankshares 0.01 8 per month 2.79 (0.03) 4.26 (4.08) 17.86 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp(0.12)3 per month 2.08 (0.01) 5.67 (4.53) 13.83 
FNCBFNCB Bancorp 0.07 5 per month 1.48  0.07  4.40 (3.12) 8.33 
CZWICitizens Community Bancorp 0.25 9 per month 0.89  0.06  2.84 (1.73) 7.36 
BSRRSierra Bancorp 0.86 8 per month 2.16  0.02  3.61 (3.13) 26.66 
FCCOFirst Community(0.27)6 per month 1.35  0.06  3.05 (2.18) 10.09 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp 0.18 10 per month 1.53 (0.04) 2.98 (2.74) 8.98 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.00 7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.54 (3.38) 11.75 

QCR Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine QCR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for QCR using various technical indicators. When you analyze QCR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About QCR Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of QCR Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as QCR Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of QCR Holdings based on analysis of QCR Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to QCR Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to QCR Holdings's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0047630.0041240.0047420.004505
Price To Sales Ratio2.722.853.272.71

Story Coverage note for QCR Holdings

The number of cover stories for QCR Holdings depends on current market conditions and QCR Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that QCR Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about QCR Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

QCR Holdings Short Properties

QCR Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when QCR Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of QCR Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential QCR Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QCR Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments132.6 M

Complementary Tools for QCR Stock analysis

When running QCR Holdings' price analysis, check to measure QCR Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QCR Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of QCR Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QCR Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QCR Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QCR Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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