Iamgold Stock Price Prediction
| IAG Stock | USD 20.04 0.78 4.05% |
Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3962 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0348 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9593 | Wall Street Target Price 18.9 |
Using IAMGold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of IAMGold from the perspective of IAMGold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IAMGold using IAMGold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IAMGold using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IAMGold's stock price.
IAMGold Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in IAMGold's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards IAMGold. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of IAMGold stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 10.5242 | Short Percent 0.0281 | Short Ratio 1.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.1 M | 50 Day MA 15.7698 |
IAMGold Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to IAMGold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in IAMGold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding IAMGold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around IAMGold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of IAMGold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about IAMGold.
IAMGold Implied Volatility | 1.12 |
IAMGold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of IAMGold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IAMGold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IAMGold stock will not fluctuate a lot when IAMGold's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IAMGold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IAMGold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
IAMGold after-hype prediction price | USD 20.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IAMGold contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that IAMGold will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.07% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With IAMGold trading at USD 20.04, that is roughly USD 0.014 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IAMGold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring IAMGold options at the current volatility level of 1.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out IAMGold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. IAMGold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IAMGold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IAMGold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of IAMGold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IAMGold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IAMGold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IAMGold's historical news coverage. IAMGold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.74 and 23.92, respectively. We have considered IAMGold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IAMGold is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of IAMGold is based on 3 months time horizon.
IAMGold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as IAMGold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IAMGold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IAMGold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.97 | 3.57 | 0.28 | 0.23 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.04 | 20.33 | 1.45 |
|
IAMGold Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January IAMGold is traded for 20.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. IAMGold is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.97%. The volatility of related hype on IAMGold is about 1481.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.81. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.63 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 780.25 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 743.5 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out IAMGold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.IAMGold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IAMGold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IAMGold's future price movements. Getting to know how IAMGold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IAMGold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMN | Eastman Chemical | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.83 | 0.05 | 4.94 | (3.60) | 9.74 | |
| NGD | New Gold | 0.03 | 12 per month | 3.01 | 0.22 | 7.41 | (4.72) | 19.38 | |
| SBSW | Sibanye Gold Ltd | 0.13 | 7 per month | 4.16 | 0.11 | 6.46 | (6.41) | 18.48 | |
| BTG | B2Gold Corp | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.48 | (5.74) | 14.92 | |
| EGO | Eldorado Gold Corp | (0.58) | 10 per month | 2.25 | 0.23 | 5.65 | (3.61) | 12.43 | |
| HL | Hecla Mining | (1.45) | 9 per month | 3.22 | 0.26 | 8.95 | (6.19) | 18.49 | |
| OR | Osisko Gold Ro | (0.48) | 9 per month | 2.36 | 0.08 | 4.10 | (3.70) | 9.72 | |
| EXP | Eagle Materials | (0.1) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.89 | (2.74) | 9.20 | |
| TX | Ternium SA ADR | (0.01) | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0.15 | 3.07 | (1.55) | 8.99 | |
| GGB | Gerdau SA ADR | (0.04) | 6 per month | 1.47 | 0.19 | 2.87 | (2.40) | 11.29 |
IAMGold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IAMGold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IAMGold using various technical indicators. When you analyze IAMGold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About IAMGold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of IAMGold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as IAMGold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IAMGold based on analysis of IAMGold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IAMGold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IAMGold's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003627 | 0.003446 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.96 | 1.86 |
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When running IAMGold's price analysis, check to measure IAMGold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IAMGold is operating at the current time. Most of IAMGold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IAMGold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IAMGold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IAMGold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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